CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNT 48.7%51.3% NAVY
Projected margin
NAVY by 0.1
Projected total
62
80% outcome range
UNT 18 to NAVY 19
Win probability
NAVY 51.3%

Current team profiles

North Texas
Navy

When North Texas has the ball

Passing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#12
NAVY defense
#109
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#55
NAVY defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#30
NAVY defense
#34
Success rates
48%
#30
36%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#18
0.09
#83
EPA / play
1.33
#21
1.38
#126
Explosiveness
10%
#12
13%
#113
Havoc

When Navy has the ball

Passing

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#98
NAVY offense
#119
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#56
NAVY offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#78
NAVY offense
#30
Success rates
41%
#78
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.20
#48
EPA / play
1.24
#81
1.14
#112
Explosiveness
17%
#52
14%
#50
Havoc

Current key players

North Texas
QBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
81.9
Penalties
0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.5
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

  • James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

Navy
QBBraxton Woodson
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7107/729
LBMarcAnthony Parker
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
65.5
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
80.970/1796
LBColeman Cauley
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
69.0
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
78.6106/1796
RBJacob Williams
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6269/1044
WRTruman Brasfield
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1301/2069
WRCharles Robinson
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9311/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Landon Walker · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jake Norris · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Merrick Barlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jeremiah Chalmers · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNT
NAVY
vs
Offense
90.2
#22 of 138
QB
75.7
#80 of 138
77.8
#48 of 138
RB
69.1
#124 of 138
77.0
#27 of 138
WR
68.9
#96 of 138
82.8
#19 of 138
TE
59.6
#125 of 138
64.9
#96 of 138
OL
67.5
#73 of 138
Defense
76.3
#42 of 138
DL
70.3
#104 of 138
76.4
#49 of 138
LB
78.5
#34 of 138
74.2
#43 of 138
DB
63.4
#138 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

North Texas
opponent
Navy
H+40.0
CLT#184
+15.1A
H+15.4
UAB#137
-4.0A
H+10.9
FAU#88
-8.0A
A+1.0
TLSA#98
+8.0H
A-5.2
UTSA#73
-7.7A