Passing
UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #101
- UNT defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNLV 48.3%51.7% UNT
- Projected margin
- UNT by 0.7
- Projected total
- 62
- 80% outcome range
- UNLV 21 to UNT 22
- Win probability
- UNT 51.7%
FinalUNLV 6 · UNT 44model had +0.7, off by 37.3
Current team profiles
UNLVNorth TexasWhen UNLV has the ball
Rushing
UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #88
- UNT defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #126
- UNT defense
- #78
Success rates
37%
#126
41%
#78
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#104
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.26
#49
1.24
#81
Explosiveness
16%
#88
17%
#52
Havoc
When North Texas has the ball
Passing
UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #38
- UNT offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.49
#12
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #68
- UNT offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #50
- UNT offense
- #30
Success rates
38%
#50
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#50
0.30
#18
EPA / play
1.24
#80
1.33
#21
Explosiveness
17%
#49
10%
#12
Havoc
Current key players
UNLVQBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.6
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 104.5
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.7
- Run blocking
- 78.5
- Penalties
- 1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 71.5
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 87.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
- Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
- DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
North TexasQBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 81.9
- Penalties
- 0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.5
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.
- James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
- Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
- Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNLVUNLV
UNTNorth Texas
vs
Offense
78.9
#61 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.2
#22 of 138
70.9
#112 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.8
#48 of 138
68.3
#101 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.0
#27 of 138
75.5
#35 of 138
TE
Tight ends
82.8
#19 of 138
61.0
#128 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.9
#96 of 138
Defense
70.2
#105 of 138
DL
Defensive line
76.3
#42 of 138
64.2
#135 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.4
#49 of 138
70.0
#98 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.2
#43 of 138