CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UNT 44.1%55.9% TULN
Projected margin
TULN by 2.5
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
UNT 16 to TULN 21
Win probability
TULN 55.9%

Current team profiles

North Texas
Tulane

When North Texas has the ball

Passing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#12
TULN defense
#109
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#55
TULN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT offense
#30
TULN defense
#81
Success rates
48%
#30
42%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#18
0.17
#112
EPA / play
1.33
#21
1.20
#62
Explosiveness
10%
#12
11%
#135
Havoc

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#98
TULN offense
#119
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#56
TULN offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UNT defense
#78
TULN offense
#133
Success rates
41%
#78
34%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.07
#97
EPA / play
1.24
#81
1.57
#1
Explosiveness
17%
#52
20%
#132
Havoc

Current key players

North Texas
QBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
81.9
Penalties
0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.5
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

  • James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UNT
TULN
vs
Offense
90.2
#22 of 138
QB
72.4
#94 of 138
77.8
#48 of 138
RB
75.5
#68 of 138
77.0
#27 of 138
WR
69.7
#85 of 138
82.8
#19 of 138
TE
65.0
#89 of 138
64.9
#96 of 138
OL
61.6
#122 of 138
Defense
76.3
#42 of 138
DL
78.4
#21 of 138
76.4
#49 of 138
LB
72.1
#86 of 138
74.2
#43 of 138
DB
67.8
#120 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

North Texas
opponent
Tulane
H+40.0
CLT#184
+17.5A
A+1.0
TLSA#98
+10.1H
H+13.1
RICE#133
+7.7A
A-5.2
UTSA#73
0.0H