Passing
No comparison
- HCU offense
- —
- UNT defense
- #98
EPA comparison
—
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HCU 0.4%99.6% UNT
- Projected margin
- UNT by 39.1
- Projected total
- 64
- 80% outcome range
- UNT 17 to UNT 59
- Win probability
- UNT 99.6%
FinalHCU 14 · UNT 63model had +39.1, off by 9.9
Current team profiles
Houston Christian
North TexasWhen Houston Christian has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- HCU offense
- —
- UNT defense
- #56
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- HCU offense
- #115
- UNT defense
- #78
Success rates
39%
#115
41%
#78
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#92
0.08
#76
EPA / play
0.16
#126
1.24
#81
Explosiveness
—
17%
#52
Havoc
When North Texas has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- HCU defense
- —
- UNT offense
- #12
EPA comparison
—
0.49
#12
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- HCU defense
- —
- UNT offense
- #55
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- HCU defense
- #78
- UNT offense
- #30
Success rates
45%
#78
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#18
0.30
#18
EPA / play
0.19
#27
1.33
#21
Explosiveness
—
10%
#12
Havoc
Current key players
Houston ChristianQBDiego Tello
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
92.23/370
WRJamaal Hall II
19 rec · 362 yds · 2 TD
79.528/1229
LBNicholas Weaver
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.862/1054
DLCalvin Kalu-Alexander
8 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.491/1549
QBCayden Keeth
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.163/370
DBBrenden Bradshaw
31 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 62.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 91
- Passer rating allowed
- 81.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6124/1765
North TexasQBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 81.9
- Penalties
- 0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.5
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.
- James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
- Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
- Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HCUHouston Christian
UNTNorth Texas
vs
Offense
92.2
#3 of 125
QB
Quarterback
90.2
#22 of 138
70.8
#68 of 126
RB
Running backs
77.8
#48 of 138
70.9
#45 of 126
WR
Receivers
77.0
#27 of 138
56.0
#115 of 124
TE
Tight ends
82.8
#19 of 138
62.9
#82 of 125
OL
Offensive line
64.9
#96 of 138
Defense
68.8
#86 of 126
DL
Defensive line
76.3
#42 of 138
73.4
#43 of 126
LB
Linebackers
76.4
#49 of 138
70.5
#80 of 126
DB
Secondary
74.2
#43 of 138