CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UAB 16.2%83.8% UNT
Projected margin
UNT by 15.4
Projected total
63
80% outcome range
UAB 3 to UNT 34
Win probability
UNT 83.8%

Current team profiles

UAB
North Texas

When UAB has the ball

Passing

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#130
UNT defense
#98
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.25
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#79
UNT defense
#56
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#81
UNT defense
#78
Success rates
43%
#81
41%
#78
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#116
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.14
#111
1.24
#81
Explosiveness
16%
#88
17%
#52
Havoc

When North Texas has the ball

Passing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#32
UNT offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.03
#32
0.49
#12
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#102
UNT offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#110
UNT offense
#30
Success rates
45%
#110
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#70
0.30
#18
EPA / play
1.03
#6
1.33
#21
Explosiveness
15%
#84
10%
#12
Havoc

Current key players

UAB
QBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.9
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
101
Missed tackles
8
Forced fumbles
2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.5
Run blocking
73.1
Penalties
0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.

North Texas
QBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
81.9
Penalties
0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.5
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

  • James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UAB
UNT
vs
Offense
74.3
#85 of 138
QB
90.2
#22 of 138
70.6
#116 of 138
RB
77.8
#48 of 138
71.2
#71 of 138
WR
77.0
#27 of 138
75.4
#37 of 138
TE
82.8
#19 of 138
63.0
#114 of 138
OL
64.9
#96 of 138
Defense
66.7
#131 of 138
DL
76.3
#42 of 138
68.9
#114 of 138
LB
76.4
#49 of 138
70.8
#86 of 138
DB
74.2
#43 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UAB
opponent
North Texas
H+10.2
CLT#184
+40.0H
H-12.6
UTSA#73
-5.2A
H+4.0
NAVY#93
-0.1A