Passing
UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNT offense
- #12
- TLSA defense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.18
#82
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Thu Oct 1 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNT 60.6%39.4% TLSA
- Projected margin
- UNT by 3.2
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UNT 24 to TLSA 18
- Win probability
- UNT 60.6%
FinalUNT 45 · TLSA 44model had -3.2, off by 2.2
Current team profiles
North Texas
TulsaWhen North Texas has the ball
Rushing
TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNT offense
- #55
- TLSA defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNT offense
- #30
- TLSA defense
- #74
Success rates
48%
#30
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#18
0.03
#54
EPA / play
1.33
#21
1.14
#29
Explosiveness
10%
#12
13%
#116
Havoc
When Tulsa has the ball
Passing
UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNT defense
- #98
- TLSA offense
- #108
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.09
#108
Pass EPA
Rushing
TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNT defense
- #56
- TLSA offense
- #21
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNT defense
- #78
- TLSA offense
- #117
Success rates
41%
#78
39%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.14
#74
EPA / play
1.24
#81
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
17%
#52
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
North TexasQBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 81.9
- Penalties
- 0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.5
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.
- James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
- Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
- Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.
TulsaQBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 48.5
- Run blocking
- 65.5
- Penalties
- 0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 76.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 62
- Passer rating allowed
- 92.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.8
- Coverage
- 58.3
- Pressures
- 12
- Pass-rush snaps
- 24
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob
- Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNTNorth Texas
TLSATulsa
vs
Offense
90.2
#22 of 138
QB
Quarterback
64.2
#121 of 138
77.8
#48 of 138
RB
Running backs
84.4
#13 of 138
77.0
#27 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.0
#120 of 138
82.8
#19 of 138
TE
Tight ends
87.1
#8 of 138
64.9
#96 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.5
#64 of 138
Defense
76.3
#42 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.1
#68 of 138
76.4
#49 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.4
#93 of 138
74.2
#43 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.5
#41 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
North Texas
opponent
Tulsa
Hhome+40.0
CLTCharlotte#184+15.3Hhome
Hhome+13.1
RICERice#133+0.2Aaway
Aaway-0.1
NAVYNavy#93-8.0Aaway
Hhome+10.9
FAUFlorida Atlantic#88+3.3Hhome
Aaway-5.2
UTSAUTSA#73-12.8Aaway
Aaway-2.5
TULNTulane#85-10.1Aaway