CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
#189Away
Towson
0-0 · AVR 42.4
15
Final
#52Home
Navy
0-0 · AVR 59.8
42
Forecast win probability
TOW 21.0%79.0% NAVY
Projected margin
NAVY by 12.9
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
TOW 8 to NAVY 33
Win probability
NAVY 79.0%
FinalTOW 15 · NAVY 42model had +12.9, off by 14.1

Current team profiles

Towson
Navy

When Towson has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TOW offense
—
NAVY defense
#109
EPA comparison
—
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TOW offense
—
NAVY defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TOW offense
#36
NAVY defense
#34
Success rates
45%
#36
36%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#49
0.09
#83
EPA / play
0.20
#63
1.38
#126
Explosiveness
—
13%
#113
Havoc

When Navy has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TOW defense
—
NAVY offense
#119
EPA comparison
—
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TOW defense
—
NAVY offense
#12
EPA comparison
—
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TOW defense
#89
NAVY offense
#30
Success rates
46%
#89
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#92
0.20
#48
EPA / play
0.20
#60
1.14
#112
Explosiveness
—
14%
#50
Havoc

Current key players

Towson
QBAndrew Indorf
1537 yds · 15 TD · 5 INT
84.918/370
RBKemarrion Battles
304 yds · 1 TD · 3.9 YPC
77.955/631
WRAaron Enterline
34 rec · 573 yds · 8 TD
77.050/1229
LBSeth Chestnut
37 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.4
Coverage
69.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
76.088/1054
DBEddie Jackson III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.4
Coverage
76.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.5128/1765
DBAshton Siwald
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
73.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.0145/1765
Navy
QBBraxton Woodson
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7107/729
LBMarcAnthony Parker
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
65.5
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
80.970/1796
LBColeman Cauley
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
69.0
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
78.6106/1796
RBJacob Williams
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6269/1044
WRTruman Brasfield
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1301/2069
WRCharles Robinson
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9311/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Landon Walker · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jake Norris · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Merrick Barlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jeremiah Chalmers · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TOW
NAVY
vs
Offense
84.9
#18 of 125
QB
75.7
#80 of 138
72.3
#60 of 126
RB
69.1
#124 of 138
69.7
#60 of 126
WR
68.9
#96 of 138
55.3
#119 of 124
TE
59.6
#125 of 138
63.5
#72 of 125
OL
67.5
#73 of 138
Defense
70.5
#67 of 126
DL
70.3
#104 of 138
72.5
#51 of 126
LB
78.5
#34 of 138
72.7
#46 of 126
DB
63.4
#138 of 138
Common opponents