Passing
UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY offense
- #119
- UAB defense
- #32
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.03
#32
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Fri Sep 25 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NAVY 27.4%72.6% UAB
- Projected margin
- UAB by 8.4
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- NAVY 10 to UAB 28
- Win probability
- UAB 72.6%
FinalNAVY 20 · UAB 24model had +8.4, off by 4.4
Current team profiles
NavyUABWhen Navy has the ball
Rushing
NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY offense
- #12
- UAB defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY offense
- #30
- UAB defense
- #110
Success rates
48%
#30
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#48
0.06
#70
EPA / play
1.14
#112
1.03
#6
Explosiveness
14%
#50
15%
#84
Havoc
When UAB has the ball
Passing
NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY defense
- #109
- UAB offense
- #130
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA
Rushing
NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY defense
- #41
- UAB offense
- #79
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.09
#79
Rush EPA
Drive success
NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY defense
- #34
- UAB offense
- #81
Success rates
36%
#34
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#83
0.02
#116
EPA / play
1.38
#126
1.14
#111
Explosiveness
13%
#113
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
NavyQBBraxton Woodson
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7107/729
LBMarcAnthony Parker
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.8
- Coverage
- 65.5
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 22
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.970/1796
LBColeman Cauley
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.4
- Coverage
- 69.0
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.6106/1796
RBJacob Williams
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6269/1044
WRTruman Brasfield
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1301/2069
WRCharles Robinson
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9311/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Landon Walker · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jake Norris · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Merrick Barlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeremiah Chalmers · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
UABQBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.9
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 101
- Missed tackles
- 8
- Forced fumbles
- 2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 83.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.5
- Run blocking
- 73.1
- Penalties
- 0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NAVYNavy
UABUAB
vs
Offense
75.7
#80 of 138
QB
Quarterback
74.3
#85 of 138
69.1
#124 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.6
#116 of 138
68.9
#96 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.2
#71 of 138
59.6
#125 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.4
#37 of 138
67.5
#73 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.0
#114 of 138
Defense
70.3
#104 of 138
DL
Defensive line
66.7
#131 of 138
78.5
#34 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.9
#114 of 138
63.4
#138 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.8
#86 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Navy
opponent
UAB
Hhome-4.1
MEMMemphis#70-25.0Aaway
Hhome+0.1
UNTNorth Texas#64-15.4Aaway
Hhome+6.3
TEMTemple#108-9.2Aaway
Aaway+15.1
CLTCharlotte#184+10.2Hhome
Aaway-7.7
UTSAUTSA#73-12.6Hhome