Passing
ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY offense
- #119
- ARMY defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 15 · Sat Dec 12 · 3:00 PM ET · neutral site
Commander-in-Chief's Trophy; Thompson Cup
Forecast win probability
NAVY 48.9%51.1% ARMY
- Projected margin
- ARMY by 0.4
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- NAVY 18 to ARMY 19
- Win probability
- ARMY 51.1%
Current team profiles
NavyArmyWhen Navy has the ball
Rushing
NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY offense
- #12
- ARMY defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.19
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY offense
- #30
- ARMY defense
- #92
Success rates
48%
#30
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#48
0.17
#113
EPA / play
1.14
#112
1.38
#124
Explosiveness
14%
#50
13%
#111
Havoc
When Army has the ball
Passing
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY defense
- #109
- ARMY offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY defense
- #41
- ARMY offense
- #1
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.36
#1
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NAVY defense
- #34
- ARMY offense
- #5
Success rates
36%
#34
53%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#83
0.30
#16
EPA / play
1.38
#126
1.04
#135
Explosiveness
13%
#113
8%
#4
Havoc
Current key players
NavyQBBraxton Woodson
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7107/729
LBMarcAnthony Parker
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.8
- Coverage
- 65.5
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 22
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.970/1796
LBColeman Cauley
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.4
- Coverage
- 69.0
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.6106/1796
RBJacob Williams
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6269/1044
WRTruman Brasfield
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1301/2069
WRCharles Robinson
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9311/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Landon Walker · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jake Norris · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Merrick Barlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeremiah Chalmers · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
ArmyQBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.6
- Coverage
- 62.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.6
- Coverage
- 61.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
- Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.
- Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NAVYNavy
ARMYArmy
vs
Offense
75.7
#80 of 138
QB
Quarterback
80.3
#55 of 138
69.1
#124 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.4
#79 of 138
68.9
#96 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.5
#10 of 138
59.6
#125 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.1
#81 of 138
67.5
#73 of 138
OL
Offensive line
82.0
#1 of 138
Defense
70.3
#104 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.7
#110 of 138
78.5
#34 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.4
#76 of 138
63.4
#138 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.9
#113 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Navy
opponent
Army
Aaway-8.0
FAUFlorida Atlantic#88+8.8Hhome
Aaway-5.0
AFAir Force#74+6.7Hhome
Hhome+8.0
TLSATulsa#98+2.8Aaway
Hhome-4.1
MEMMemphis#70-9.0Aaway
Hhome+6.3
TEMTemple#108+4.0Aaway