AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Mountain West

Air Force

Falcons0-05th in Mountain West
Falcon Stadium · Colorado Springs, CO · 46,692
Rank —
98
Rating
40.0
TeamOffense-leaning roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, veteran line
DefenseUnprovenweak point: defensive line, 146th

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vsDuquesne
93%
Sep 539-19p›
2
vs#81North Dakota State
51%
Sep 1331-30p›
4
at#120Nevada
63%
Sep 2631-27p›
5
vs#82NavyCommander-in-Chief's Trophy
54%
Oct 332-30p›
6
at#134Northern Illinois
78%
Oct 1033-23p›
7
vs#70UNLV
39%
Oct 1731-35p›
8
at#119Wyoming
61%
Oct 2431-27p›
9
vs#72UConn
45%
Oct 3130-32p›
10
at#118ArmyCommander-in-Chief's Trophy
62%
Nov 832-28p›
11
vs#123San José State
80%
Nov 1536-25p›
12
vs#133UTEP
86%
Nov 2136-22p›
13
at#86New Mexico
42%
Nov 2829-32p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#2575
Talent
#13544
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB14th
RB55th
WR53rd
OL2nd
DL146th
LB105th
DB150th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named7 ratedavg 78.54 top-252025 ratings
X59.7
J. Dawson
WR · JR118th
LT98.9
H. Rickels
OL · SR2nd
LG98.9
R. Varela
OL · SR3rd
C87.3
N. Elwood
OL · SR19th
RG—
J. Ashford
OL · JR
RT—
L. Vonderhaar
OT · SR
TE—
S. Kibbee
TE · SR
SL—
A. Hrynciw
WR · SR
Z52.0
M. Long
WR · JR261st
QB83.8
L. Szarka
QB · JR14th
RB68.8
O. Allen
RB · SR63rd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Liam SzarkaJR
83.8
14th QB
RB
Owen AllenSR
68.8
63rd RB
WR
Jonah DawsonJR
59.7
118th WR
WR
Matt LongJR
52.0
261st WR
QB
Maguire MartinSR
53.5
112th QB
Defense
LB
Isaac HubertSR
62.5
248th LB
LB
Blake FletcherSR
50.4
473rd LB
DB
Max MustellSO
53.7
664th DB
DB
Roger Jones Jr.JR
38.7
1069th DB
DB
Korey JohnsonJR
37.7
1091st DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–2% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W7
vs#70UNLV
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
40% to win
W4
at#120Nevada
0% lose1% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
62% to win
W13
at#86New Mexico
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
43% to win
W2
vs#81North Dakota State
0% lose1% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
50% to win
W8
at#119Wyoming
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W5
vs#82Navy
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
54% to win
W9
vs#72UConn
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
45% to win
W10
at#118Army
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
60% to win