CFB
Model
All rankings
Mountain West

Air Force

Falcons4-13rd in Mountain West
Falcon Stadium · Colorado Springs, CO · 46,692
TeamMiddle of the pack · outplaying the roster
OffenseMethodical running attack · solidweak point: explosiveness, 136th
DefenseStingy until it breaks · solid · built to defend the passweak point: big plays allowed, 101st

The season

Best win
W 36-33 @ #109 Nevada
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · won as a 29% underdog
Worst loss
L 32-38 vs #61 North Dakota State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 18%

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsDuquesne
    W 34–0
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.4Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsNorth Dakota State
    L 32–38
    Win chance 18%Model margin -12.4Game details
  3. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atNevada
    W 36–33
    Win chance 29%Model margin -7.5Game details
  4. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsNavy
    W 14–9
    Win chance 70%Model margin +7.1Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atNorthern Illinois
    W 28–7
    Win chance 52%Model margin +0.7Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsUNLV
    Win chance 40%Model margin -3.3Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atWyoming
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.5Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsUConn
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.3Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 8
    atArmy
    Win chance 31%Model margin -6.7Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 15
    vsSan José State
    Win chance 70%Model margin +7.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsUTEP
    Win chance 80%Model margin +11.5Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atNew Mexico
    Win chance 13%Model margin -15.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
52
#64 of 138
Defense efficiency
61
#52 of 138
Efficiency
#390.22
EPA / play
#37-0.02
#132-0.07
Pass
#200.00
#60.29
Rush
#470.00
#2549%
Success
#2935%
Big plays & havoc
#1361.03
Explosive
#1011.29
#16%
Havoc
#9714%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB53rd
RB106th
WR73rd
TE74th
OL18th
DL112th
LB45th
DB111th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Liam SzarkaJR
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
81.8
62nd QB
RB
Rocco ContiSR
187 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
72.3
251st RB
WR
Mason HayesJR
12 rush yds · 0 TD · 1 car
77.5
79th WR
WR
Jonah DawsonJR
3 rec · 39 yds · 0 TD
69.8
275th WR
TE
Mitchell BlakesleeSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
68.6
118th TE
Defense
LB
Blake FletcherSR
44 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
90.0
14th LB
LB
Isaac HubertSR
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
71.3
320th LB
DB
Max MustellSO
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
87.4
17th DB
DB
Korey JohnsonJR
14 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
65.5
811th DB
DB
Cade PatersonSO
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
65.2
839th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Liam SzarkaQB

Szarka is battling with a lower leg injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

81.810-05
Ques.
Griffin StalfortTE

Stalfort is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play Saturday's game against Rebels , October 17th.

64.910-11

Past seasons

Year by year
-15.8 points since 2022
304560759072.2202261.3202349.7202456.42025
2022 72.22023 61.32024 49.72025 56.4

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#86
Rating
56.4
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLWLWLLW
358 pts scored364 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs BucknellW 49–13
  2. W3 at Utah StateL 30–49
  3. W4 vs Boise StateL 37–49
  4. W5 vs Hawai'iL 35–44
  5. W6 at NavyL 31–34
  6. W7 at UNLVL 48–51
  7. W8 vs WyomingW 24–21
  8. W10 vs ArmyL 17–20
  9. W11 at San José StateW 26–16
  10. W12 at UConnL 16–26
  11. W13 vs New MexicoL 3–20
  12. W14 at Colorado StateW 42–21

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#123
Rating
49.7
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLLLWWWW
227 pts scored279 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs MerrimackW 21–6
  2. W2 vs San José StateL 7–17
  3. W3 at BaylorL 3–31
  4. W5 at WyomingL 19–31
  5. W6 vs NavyL 7–34
  6. W7 at New MexicoL 37–52
  7. W8 vs Colorado StateL 13–21
  8. W10 at ArmyL 3–20
  9. W11 vs Fresno StateW 36–28
  10. W12 vs Oregon StateW 28–0
  11. W13 at NevadaW 22–19
  12. W14 at San Diego StateW 31–20

2023

8-4
D-I rank
#57
Rating
61.3
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWWLLLL
331 pts scored215 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Robert MorrisW 42–7
  2. W2 vs Sam HoustonW 13–3
  3. W3 vs Utah StateW 39–21
  4. W4 at San José StateW 45–20
  5. W5 vs San Diego StateW 49–10
  6. W7 vs WyomingW 34–27
  7. W8 at NavyW 17–6
  8. W9 at Colorado StateW 30–13
  9. W10 vs ArmyL 3–23
  10. W11 at Hawai'iL 13–27
  11. W12 vs UNLVL 27–31
  12. W13 at Boise StateL 19–27

2022

9-3
D-I rank
#16
Rating
72.2
Listed games · 12
WWLWWLWLWWWW
332 pts scored159 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Northern IowaW 48–17
  2. W2 vs ColoradoW 41–10
  3. W3 at WyomingL 14–17
  4. W4 vs NevadaW 48–20
  5. W5 vs NavyW 13–10
  6. W6 at Utah StateL 27–34
  7. W7 at UNLVW 42–7
  8. W8 vs Boise StateL 14–19
  9. W10 vs ArmyW 13–7
  10. W11 vs New MexicoW 35–3
  11. W12 vs Colorado StateW 24–12
  12. W13 at San Diego StateW 13–3