Passing
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SJSU offense
- #62
- AF defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SJSU 31.8%68.2% AF
- Projected margin
- AF by 7.2
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- SJSU 11 to AF 26
- Win probability
- AF 68.2%
Current team profiles
San José StateAir ForceWhen San José State has the ball
Rushing
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SJSU offense
- #113
- AF defense
- #47
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SJSU offense
- #102
- AF defense
- #29
Success rates
40%
#102
35%
#29
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#89
-0.02
#37
EPA / play
1.14
#113
1.29
#101
Explosiveness
15%
#79
14%
#97
Havoc
When Air Force has the ball
Passing
SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SJSU defense
- #52
- AF offense
- #132
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
-0.07
#132
Pass EPA
Rushing
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SJSU defense
- #98
- AF offense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.29
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SJSU defense
- #107
- AF offense
- #25
Success rates
44%
#107
49%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#60
0.22
#39
EPA / play
1.05
#9
1.03
#136
Explosiveness
15%
#84
6%
#1
Havoc
Current key players
San José StateQBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 80.0
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
- Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.
Air ForceQBLiam Szarka
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
81.862/729
LBBlake Fletcher
44 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.3
- Coverage
- 83.1
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.014/1796
DBMax Mustell
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.0
- Coverage
- 89.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 14
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
87.417/2969
WRMason Hayes
12 rush yds · 0 TD · 1 car
77.579/2069
RBRocco Conti
187 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
72.3251/1044
LBIsaac Hubert
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 83
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.3320/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Liam Szarka · QBout · 2026-10-05
Szarka is battling with a lower leg injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Griffin Stalfort · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Stalfort is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play Saturday's game against Rebels , October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SJSUSan José State
AFAir Force
vs
Offense
65.7
#117 of 138
QB
Quarterback
81.8
#53 of 138
71.3
#108 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.0
#106 of 138
68.2
#105 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.2
#73 of 138
51.2
#138 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#74 of 138
61.4
#125 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.7
#18 of 138
Defense
82.7
#6 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.6
#112 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.9
#45 of 138
73.0
#56 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.0
#111 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
San José State
opponent
Air Force
Hhome+9.6
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+21.0Aaway
Aaway+1.6
UTEPUTEP#170+11.5Hhome
Aaway-3.6
NEVNevada#109+3.0Aaway
Hhome-7.9
UNLVUNLV#83-3.3Hhome
Hhome-3.0
WYOWyoming#126+1.5Aaway
Hhome-10.4
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-6.0Hhome
Hhome-14.4
UNMNew Mexico#33-15.1Aaway