Passing
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN offense
- #38
- AF defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CONN 50.6%49.4% AF
- Projected margin
- CONN by 0.3
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- CONN 19 to AF 18
- Win probability
- CONN 50.6%
Current team profiles
UConnAir ForceWhen UConn has the ball
Rushing
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN offense
- #28
- AF defense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN offense
- #52
- AF defense
- #29
Success rates
45%
#52
35%
#29
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#38
-0.02
#37
EPA / play
1.40
#7
1.29
#101
Explosiveness
13%
#39
14%
#97
Havoc
When Air Force has the ball
Passing
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN defense
- #84
- AF offense
- #132
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
-0.07
#132
Pass EPA
Rushing
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN defense
- #41
- AF offense
- #6
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.29
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN defense
- #92
- AF offense
- #25
Success rates
42%
#92
49%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.22
#39
EPA / play
1.20
#63
1.03
#136
Explosiveness
16%
#63
6%
#1
Havoc
Current key players
UConnQBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 83.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 30.8
- Run blocking
- 71.7
- Penalties
- 2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05
Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.
Air ForceQBLiam Szarka
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
81.862/729
LBBlake Fletcher
44 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.3
- Coverage
- 83.1
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.014/1796
DBMax Mustell
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.0
- Coverage
- 89.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 14
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
87.417/2969
WRMason Hayes
12 rush yds · 0 TD · 1 car
77.579/2069
RBRocco Conti
187 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
72.3251/1044
LBIsaac Hubert
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 83
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.3320/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Liam Szarka · QBout · 2026-10-05
Szarka is battling with a lower leg injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Griffin Stalfort · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Stalfort is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play Saturday's game against Rebels , October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CONNUConn
AFAir Force
vs
Offense
91.0
#12 of 138
QB
Quarterback
81.8
#53 of 138
78.8
#42 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.0
#106 of 138
77.7
#18 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.2
#73 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#74 of 138
71.7
#40 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.7
#18 of 138
Defense
71.3
#93 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.6
#112 of 138
73.2
#78 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.9
#45 of 138
64.0
#136 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.0
#111 of 138