Passing
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTEP offense
- #136
- AF defense
- #20
EPA comparison
-0.18
#136
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Fri Nov 20 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTEP 23.5%76.5% AF
- Projected margin
- AF by 11.5
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UTEP 7 to AF 30
- Win probability
- AF 76.5%
Current team profiles
UTEPAir ForceWhen UTEP has the ball
Rushing
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTEP offense
- #132
- AF defense
- #47
EPA comparison
-0.10
#132
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTEP offense
- #135
- AF defense
- #29
Success rates
33%
#135
35%
#29
Success rate
More metrics
-0.18
#138
-0.02
#37
EPA / play
1.28
#39
1.29
#101
Explosiveness
23%
#137
14%
#97
Havoc
When Air Force has the ball
Passing
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTEP defense
- #137
- AF offense
- #132
EPA comparison
0.48
#137
-0.07
#132
Pass EPA
Rushing
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTEP defense
- #107
- AF offense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.29
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTEP defense
- #127
- AF offense
- #25
Success rates
47%
#127
49%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#128
0.22
#39
EPA / play
1.22
#71
1.03
#136
Explosiveness
13%
#117
6%
#1
Havoc
Current key players
UTEPQBEJ Colson Jr.
541 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
60.2270/729
SKane White-Tinsley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.780/2969
CBTJ Tillman
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.0
- Coverage
- 76.0
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.7141/2969
CBDecorian Thompson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 32
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.8243/2969
LBVashon Brunswick II
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.9
- Coverage
- 61.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
70.0370/1796
LBGarrett Hawkins
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.3
- Coverage
- 50.9
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
69.9374/1796
Availability reports · 3
- EJ Colson Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Colson Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.
- CJ Simon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Simon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Ferguson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Ferguson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.
Air ForceQBLiam Szarka
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
81.862/729
LBBlake Fletcher
44 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.3
- Coverage
- 83.1
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.014/1796
DBMax Mustell
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.0
- Coverage
- 89.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 14
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
87.417/2969
WRMason Hayes
12 rush yds · 0 TD · 1 car
77.579/2069
RBRocco Conti
187 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
72.3251/1044
LBIsaac Hubert
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 83
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.3320/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Liam Szarka · QBout · 2026-10-05
Szarka is battling with a lower leg injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Griffin Stalfort · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Stalfort is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play Saturday's game against Rebels , October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UTEPUTEP
AFAir Force
vs
Offense
60.2
#131 of 138
QB
Quarterback
81.8
#53 of 138
63.0
#138 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.0
#106 of 138
68.3
#103 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.2
#73 of 138
60.0
#121 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#74 of 138
63.8
#106 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.7
#18 of 138
Defense
71.2
#94 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.6
#112 of 138
69.3
#108 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.9
#45 of 138
74.1
#44 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.0
#111 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UTEP
opponent
Air Force
Aaway-54.0
UNMNew Mexico#33-15.1Aaway
Aaway0.0
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+21.0Aaway
Hhome-17.0
NEVNevada#109+3.0Aaway
Aaway-20.0
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-6.0Hhome
Hhome-1.6
SJSUSan José State#123+7.2Hhome
Hhome-2.1
WYOWyoming#126+1.5Aaway