CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Fri Oct 23 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
AF 53.3%46.7% WYO
Projected margin
AF by 1.5
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
AF 20 to WYO 17
Win probability
AF 53.3%

Current team profiles

Air Force
Wyoming

When Air Force has the ball

Passing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
AF offense
#132
WYO defense
#89
EPA comparison
-0.07
#132
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
AF offense
#6
WYO defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
AF offense
#25
WYO defense
#121
Success rates
49%
#25
46%
#121
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#39
0.14
#101
EPA / play
1.03
#136
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
6%
#1
15%
#93
Havoc

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
AF defense
#20
WYO offense
#128
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
AF defense
#47
WYO offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
AF defense
#29
WYO offense
#69
Success rates
35%
#29
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#37
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.29
#101
1.02
#137
Explosiveness
14%
#97
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Air Force
QBLiam Szarka
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
81.862/729
LBBlake Fletcher
44 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.3
Coverage
83.1
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
90.014/1796
DBMax Mustell
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
89.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
14
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
5
87.417/2969
WRMason Hayes
12 rush yds · 0 TD · 1 car
77.579/2069
RBRocco Conti
187 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
72.3251/1044
LBIsaac Hubert
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Coverage
64.0
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
83
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.3320/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Liam Szarka · QBout · 2026-10-05

    Szarka is battling with a lower leg injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Griffin Stalfort · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stalfort is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play Saturday's game against Rebels , October 17th.

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AF
WYO
vs
Offense
81.8
#53 of 138
QB
67.9
#111 of 138
72.0
#106 of 138
RB
73.8
#85 of 138
71.2
#73 of 138
WR
58.4
#138 of 138
68.6
#74 of 138
TE
68.9
#71 of 138
74.7
#18 of 138
OL
66.6
#82 of 138
Defense
69.6
#112 of 138
DL
74.6
#57 of 138
76.9
#45 of 138
LB
68.5
#117 of 138
69.0
#111 of 138
DB
74.0
#46 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Air Force
opponent
Wyoming
H-6.0
NDSU#61
-28.0A
A+21.0
NIU#145
+10.0H
H-3.3
UNLV#83
-12.8A
H+11.5
UTEP#170
+2.1A
H+7.2
SJSU#123
+3.0A
H-0.3
CONN#95
-4.4H
A-15.1
UNM#33
-14.0H