Passing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- AF offense
- #132
- UNM defense
- #13
EPA comparison
-0.07
#132
-0.06
#13
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 4:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
AF 16.3%83.7% UNM
- Projected margin
- UNM by 15.1
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- AF 3 to UNM 34
- Win probability
- UNM 83.7%
Current team profiles
Air ForceNew MexicoWhen Air Force has the ball
Rushing
AF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- AF offense
- #6
- UNM defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- AF offense
- #25
- UNM defense
- #1
Success rates
49%
#25
31%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#39
-0.18
#2
EPA / play
1.03
#136
1.46
#136
Explosiveness
6%
#1
26%
#1
Havoc
When New Mexico has the ball
Passing
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- AF defense
- #20
- UNM offense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- AF defense
- #47
- UNM offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
AF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- AF defense
- #29
- UNM offense
- #73
Success rates
35%
#29
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#37
0.19
#52
EPA / play
1.29
#101
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
14%
#97
12%
#24
Havoc
Current key players
Air ForceQBLiam Szarka
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
81.862/729
LBBlake Fletcher
44 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.3
- Coverage
- 83.1
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.014/1796
DBMax Mustell
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.0
- Coverage
- 89.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 14
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 5
87.417/2969
WRMason Hayes
12 rush yds · 0 TD · 1 car
77.579/2069
RBRocco Conti
187 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
72.3251/1044
LBIsaac Hubert
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 83
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.3320/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Liam Szarka · QBout · 2026-10-05
Szarka is battling with a lower leg injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Griffin Stalfort · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Stalfort is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play Saturday's game against Rebels , October 17th.
New MexicoQBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 93.4
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.0
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.4
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 22
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26
Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.
- Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02
Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11
Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27
Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20
Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20
Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
AFAir Force
UNMNew Mexico
vs
Offense
81.8
#53 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.2
#8 of 138
72.0
#106 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.9
#41 of 138
71.2
#73 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.9
#123 of 138
68.6
#74 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.3
#55 of 138
74.7
#18 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.8
#29 of 138
Defense
69.6
#112 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#48 of 138
76.9
#45 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#60 of 138
69.0
#111 of 138
DB
Secondary
78.8
#6 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Air Force
opponent
New Mexico
Hhome+11.5
UTEPUTEP#170+54.0Hhome
Hhome-6.0
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61+6.7Hhome
Hhome-3.3
UNLVUNLV#83+9.2Hhome
Aaway+1.5
WYOWyoming#126+14.0Aaway
Aaway+3.0
NEVNevada#109+13.4Aaway
Hhome+7.2
SJSUSan José State#123+14.4Aaway