Passing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #5
- NAVY defense
- #109
EPA comparison
0.56
#5
0.29
#109
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MEM 60.2%39.8% NAVY
- Projected margin
- MEM by 4.1
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- MEM 23 to NAVY 14
- Win probability
- MEM 60.2%
Current team profiles
Memphis
NavyWhen Memphis has the ball
Rushing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #25
- NAVY defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #17
- NAVY defense
- #34
Success rates
50%
#17
36%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.09
#83
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.38
#126
Explosiveness
11%
#14
13%
#113
Havoc
When Navy has the ball
Passing
MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #26
- NAVY offense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.04
#119
Pass EPA
Rushing
NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #119
- NAVY offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #62
- NAVY offense
- #30
Success rates
40%
#62
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#72
0.20
#48
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.14
#112
Explosiveness
17%
#57
14%
#50
Havoc
Current key players
MemphisQBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.1
- Coverage
- 73.9
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 54.9
- Run blocking
- 44.5
- Penalties
- 0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.5
- Coverage
- 72.4
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 43
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
NavyQBBraxton Woodson
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7107/729
LBMarcAnthony Parker
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.8
- Coverage
- 65.5
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 22
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.970/1796
LBColeman Cauley
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.4
- Coverage
- 69.0
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.6106/1796
RBJacob Williams
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6269/1044
WRTruman Brasfield
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1301/2069
WRCharles Robinson
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9311/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Landon Walker · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jake Norris · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Merrick Barlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeremiah Chalmers · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MEMMemphis
NAVYNavy
vs
Offense
85.4
#38 of 138
QB
Quarterback
75.7
#80 of 138
87.3
#5 of 138
RB
Running backs
69.1
#124 of 138
68.2
#104 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.9
#96 of 138
77.3
#32 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.6
#125 of 138
67.2
#75 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.5
#73 of 138
Defense
69.7
#111 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.3
#104 of 138
75.3
#57 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.5
#34 of 138
70.9
#83 of 138
DB
Secondary
63.4
#138 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Memphis
opponent
Navy
Aaway+51.0
CLTCharlotte#184+15.1Aaway
Hhome+25.0
UABUAB#137-4.0Aaway
Hhome+9.0
ARMYArmy#53-0.4Nneutral
Hhome+13.1
TEMTemple#108+6.3Hhome