CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
NAVY 82.9%17.1% CLT
Projected margin
NAVY by 15.1
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
NAVY 34 to CLT 4
Win probability
NAVY 82.9%

Current team profiles

Navy
Charlotte

When Navy has the ball

Passing

NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
NAVY offense
#119
CLT defense
#132
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
NAVY offense
#12
CLT defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

NAVY offense
Higher-ranked profile
NAVY offense
#30
CLT defense
#132
Success rates
48%
#30
49%
#132
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#48
0.24
#128
EPA / play
1.14
#112
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
14%
#50
11%
#133
Havoc

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
NAVY defense
#109
CLT offense
#128
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
NAVY defense
#41
CLT offense
#129
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

NAVY defense
Higher-ranked profile
NAVY defense
#34
CLT offense
#132
Success rates
36%
#34
34%
#132
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#83
-0.11
#134
EPA / play
1.38
#126
1.16
#104
Explosiveness
13%
#113
20%
#134
Havoc

Current key players

Navy
QBBraxton Woodson
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7107/729
LBMarcAnthony Parker
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
65.5
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
80.970/1796
LBColeman Cauley
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
69.0
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
78.6106/1796
RBJacob Williams
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6269/1044
WRTruman Brasfield
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1301/2069
WRCharles Robinson
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9311/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Landon Walker · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jake Norris · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Merrick Barlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jeremiah Chalmers · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NAVY
CLT
vs
Offense
75.7
#80 of 138
QB
59.4
#135 of 138
69.1
#124 of 138
RB
73.7
#89 of 138
68.9
#96 of 138
WR
63.8
#135 of 138
59.6
#125 of 138
TE
70.9
#56 of 138
67.5
#73 of 138
OL
63.5
#111 of 138
Defense
70.3
#104 of 138
DL
70.0
#107 of 138
78.5
#34 of 138
LB
65.9
#131 of 138
63.4
#138 of 138
DB
66.8
#127 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Navy
opponent
Charlotte
H-4.1
MEM#70
-51.0H
H+0.1
UNT#64
-40.0A
H+8.0
TLSA#98
-15.3A
H+6.3
TEM#108
-16.7A
A-4.0
UAB#137
-10.2A