CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET
Legends Trophy
#104Away
Stanford
2-3 · AVR 53.3
7
Final
#1Home
Notre Dame
5-0 · AVR 83.1
58
Forecast win probability
STAN 0.2%99.8% ND
Projected margin
ND by 41.4
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
ND 24 to ND 60
Win probability
ND 99.8%
FinalSTAN 7 · ND 58model had +41.4, off by 9.6

Current team profiles

Stanford
Notre Dame

When Stanford has the ball

Passing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#88
ND defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#126
ND defense
#2
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#126
ND defense
#9
Success rates
37%
#126
33%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#111
-0.09
#11
EPA / play
1.20
#91
1.20
#65
Explosiveness
14%
#60
23%
#3
Havoc

When Notre Dame has the ball

Passing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#136
ND offense
#8
EPA comparison
0.47
#136
0.54
#8
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#138
ND offense
#19
EPA comparison
0.32
#138
0.24
#19
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#133
ND offense
#3
Success rates
50%
#133
53%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.37
#138
0.36
#4
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.15
#107
Explosiveness
11%
#131
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Stanford
QBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
70.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.2
Coverage
74.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
52.4
Missed tackles
2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
  • Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

Notre Dame
QBCJ Carr
1197 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.45/729
LBKyngstonn Viliamu-Asa
13 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.2
Coverage
72.0
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
92.14/1796
SLuke Talich
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
52.5
Missed tackles
1
89.611/2969
WRDevin Fitzgerald
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
87.020/2069
RBJonaz Walton
228 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
84.542/1044
SJoey O'Brien
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
80.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
77.1
Missed tackles
0
80.656/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Quincy Porter · WRout · 2026-09-28

    Porter is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Viliamu-Asa is nursing with a thumb injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Leonard Moore · CBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against BYU on Saturday, Saturday 17th.

  • Blake Hebert · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hebert is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

STAN
ND
vs
Offense
70.0
#100 of 138
QB
92.4
#5 of 138
73.3
#92 of 138
RB
83.8
#15 of 138
72.2
#56 of 138
WR
82.3
#5 of 138
57.5
#133 of 138
TE
59.4
#126 of 138
67.0
#79 of 138
OL
67.2
#77 of 138
Defense
65.3
#134 of 138
DL
83.8
#3 of 138
68.4
#119 of 138
LB
80.0
#22 of 138
68.3
#116 of 138
DB
80.1
#2 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Stanford
opponent
Notre Dame
H-39.0
MIA#4
+5.6H
H-16.7
SMU#39
+13.9H