CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Ireland Trophy; Frank Leahy Memorial Bowl
Forecast win probability
BC 1.8%98.2% ND
Projected margin
ND by 33.4
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
ND 15 to ND 52
Win probability
ND 98.2%

Current team profiles

Boston College
Notre Dame

When Boston College has the ball

Passing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
BC offense
#114
ND defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
BC offense
#100
ND defense
#2
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
BC offense
#114
ND defense
#9
Success rates
39%
#114
33%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#122
-0.09
#11
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.20
#65
Explosiveness
20%
#133
23%
#3
Havoc

When Notre Dame has the ball

Passing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
BC defense
#69
ND offense
#8
EPA comparison
0.14
#69
0.54
#8
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
BC defense
#52
ND offense
#19
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
0.24
#19
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
BC defense
#52
ND offense
#3
Success rates
39%
#52
53%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#49
0.36
#4
EPA / play
1.26
#88
1.15
#107
Explosiveness
18%
#31
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Boston College
QBMason McKenzie
967 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
67.1194/729
RBMekhi Dodd
32 yds · 0 TD · 16.0 YPC
78.0109/1044
LBAnthony Palano
43 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
72.3
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
73.8228/1796
WRLandon Wright
5 rec · 91 yds · 0 TD
72.7175/2069
DBMarcelous Townsend
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
66.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
70.9390/2969
DBCameron Martinez
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
70.6405/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Bo MacCormack III · RBout · 2026-09-19

    MacCormack III is dealing with an shoulder injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Brady Clough · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Clough has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against SMU on Saturday.

  • Reed Swanson · WRprobable · 2026-09-24

    Swanson is managing with a Undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Virginia Tech on Saturday.

Notre Dame
QBCJ Carr
1197 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.45/729
LBKyngstonn Viliamu-Asa
13 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.2
Coverage
72.0
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
92.14/1796
SLuke Talich
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
52.5
Missed tackles
1
89.611/2969
WRDevin Fitzgerald
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
87.020/2069
RBJonaz Walton
228 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
84.542/1044
SJoey O'Brien
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
80.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
77.1
Missed tackles
0
80.656/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Quincy Porter · WRout · 2026-09-28

    Porter is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Viliamu-Asa is nursing with a thumb injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Leonard Moore · CBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against BYU on Saturday, Saturday 17th.

  • Blake Hebert · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hebert is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

BC
ND
vs
Offense
67.1
#114 of 138
QB
92.4
#5 of 138
69.8
#120 of 138
RB
83.8
#15 of 138
69.2
#90 of 138
WR
82.3
#5 of 138
52.0
#137 of 138
TE
59.4
#126 of 138
59.6
#133 of 138
OL
67.2
#77 of 138
Defense
69.0
#116 of 138
DL
83.8
#3 of 138
67.1
#125 of 138
LB
80.0
#22 of 138
70.1
#96 of 138
DB
80.1
#2 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Boston College
opponent
Notre Dame
A-30.4
MIA#4
+5.6H
H+0.4
SYR#68
+25.7A
A-9.0
SMU#39
+13.9H