CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ND 95.1%4.9% SYR
Projected margin
ND by 25.7
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
ND 44 to ND 7
Win probability
ND 95.1%

Current team profiles

Notre Dame
Syracuse

When Notre Dame has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
ND offense
#8
SYR defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.54
#8
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
ND offense
#19
SYR defense
#91
EPA comparison
0.24
#19
0.09
#91
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
ND offense
#3
SYR defense
#65
Success rates
53%
#3
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#4
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.15
#107
1.18
#47
Explosiveness
10%
#9
18%
#38
Havoc

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
ND defense
#34
SYR offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.18
#81
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
ND defense
#2
SYR offense
#72
EPA comparison
-0.23
#2
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
ND defense
#9
SYR offense
#88
Success rates
33%
#9
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
-0.09
#11
0.09
#94
EPA / play
1.20
#65
1.33
#22
Explosiveness
23%
#3
13%
#39
Havoc

Current key players

Notre Dame
QBCJ Carr
1197 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.45/729
LBKyngstonn Viliamu-Asa
13 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.2
Coverage
72.0
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
92.14/1796
SLuke Talich
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
52.5
Missed tackles
1
89.611/2969
WRDevin Fitzgerald
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
87.020/2069
RBJonaz Walton
228 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
84.542/1044
SJoey O'Brien
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
80.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
77.1
Missed tackles
0
80.656/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Quincy Porter · WRout · 2026-09-28

    Porter is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Viliamu-Asa is nursing with a thumb injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Leonard Moore · CBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against BYU on Saturday, Saturday 17th.

  • Blake Hebert · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hebert is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ND
SYR
vs
Offense
92.4
#5 of 138
QB
76.0
#78 of 138
83.8
#15 of 138
RB
75.7
#66 of 138
82.3
#5 of 138
WR
72.2
#57 of 138
59.4
#126 of 138
TE
70.6
#62 of 138
67.2
#77 of 138
OL
66.3
#87 of 138
Defense
83.8
#3 of 138
DL
75.2
#53 of 138
80.0
#22 of 138
LB
79.7
#23 of 138
80.1
#2 of 138
DB
67.3
#123 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Notre Dame
opponent
Syracuse
H+33.4
BC#121
-0.4A
H+13.9
SMU#39
-14.5H
A+11.0
UNC#60
-6.4A