Passing
No comparison
- UCD offense
- —
- SMU defense
- #34
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#34
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UCD 1.9%98.1% SMU
- Projected margin
- SMU by 33.8
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- SMU 12 to SMU 56
- Win probability
- SMU 98.1%
FinalUCD 10 · SMU 56model had +33.8, off by 12.2
Current team profiles
UC Davis
SMUWhen UC Davis has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- UCD offense
- —
- SMU defense
- #81
EPA comparison
—
0.06
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- UCD offense
- #11
- SMU defense
- #37
Success rates
49%
#11
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#12
0.04
#58
EPA / play
0.24
#8
1.38
#124
Explosiveness
—
22%
#5
Havoc
When SMU has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- UCD defense
- —
- SMU offense
- #10
EPA comparison
—
0.51
#10
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- UCD defense
- —
- SMU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
—
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- UCD defense
- #74
- SMU offense
- #26
Success rates
45%
#74
49%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#55
0.22
#41
EPA / play
0.21
#79
1.27
#44
Explosiveness
—
14%
#52
Havoc
Current key players
UC DavisQBTreynor Cleeland
1467 yds · 14 TD · 4 INT
77.952/370
WRXzavior Guess
6 rec · 144 yds · 2 TD
86.94/1229
LBPorter Connors
46 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.8
- Coverage
- 67.2
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 38
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
86.18/1054
WRSamuel Gbatu Jr.
44 rec · 663 yds · 5 TD
82.514/1229
WRJackson Fay
1 rec · 47 yds · 0 TD
81.418/1229
DBHayden John
19 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.1
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.2
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.046/1765
SMUQBTy Hawkins
104 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
90.124/729
SJarvis Lee
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.9
- Coverage
- 82.3
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 139
- Passer rating allowed
- 75.7
- Missed tackles
- 2
87.318/2969
SJaylen Moses
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 50.1
- Coverage
- 90.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -2
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 1
86.520/2969
TEZack Turner
3 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 68.5
- Run blocking
- 55.8
- Penalties
- 0
78.631/1017
LBAlexander Kilgore
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.8
- Coverage
- 69.8
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.3113/1796
LBJamal Anderson
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.4
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.6148/1796
Availability reports · 8
- Ira Singleton · DLout · 2026-09-29
Singleton is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Link Rhodes · RBout · 2026-08-26
Rhodes has been out of the lineup with a tore ACL injury, and he will be out of commission for the remainder of the season.
- Yamir Knight · WRQues. · 2026-09-29
Knight is dealing with un undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston College.
- Yannick Smith · WRQues. · 2026-09-29
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston
- Nick Reed · KQues. · 2026-10-01
Reed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston.
- Miles Uter · TEQues. · 2026-09-12
Uter is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septembe
- Christian Rhodes · RBQues. · 2026-09-12
Rhodes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septem
- EJ Kelly · RBprobable · 2026-09-17
Kelly is dealing with an undisclosed injury , but he is likely to play against Louisville on Saturday, 19th September.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UCDUC Davis
SMUSMU
vs
Offense
77.9
#42 of 125
QB
Quarterback
90.1
#23 of 138
78.2
#18 of 126
RB
Running backs
70.7
#115 of 138
83.6
#1 of 126
WR
Receivers
73.9
#44 of 138
59.3
#98 of 124
TE
Tight ends
78.6
#28 of 138
70.7
#19 of 125
OL
Offensive line
66.6
#83 of 138
Defense
71.0
#57 of 126
DL
Defensive line
77.2
#33 of 138
76.3
#19 of 126
LB
Linebackers
71.9
#90 of 138
75.4
#18 of 126
DB
Secondary
78.1
#9 of 138