CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
SMU 82.5%17.5% SYR
Projected margin
SMU by 14.5
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
SMU 33 to SYR 4
Win probability
SMU 82.5%

Current team profiles

SMU
Syracuse

When SMU has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU offense
#10
SYR defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.51
#10
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU offense
#116
SYR defense
#91
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.09
#91
Rush EPA

Drive success

SMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU offense
#26
SYR defense
#65
Success rates
49%
#26
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#41
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.27
#44
1.18
#47
Explosiveness
14%
#52
18%
#38
Havoc

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

SMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU defense
#34
SYR offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.18
#81
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU defense
#81
SYR offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

SMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU defense
#37
SYR offense
#88
Success rates
37%
#37
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#58
0.09
#94
EPA / play
1.38
#124
1.33
#22
Explosiveness
22%
#5
13%
#39
Havoc

Current key players

SMU
QBTy Hawkins
104 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
90.124/729
SJarvis Lee
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
90.9
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
139
Passer rating allowed
75.7
Missed tackles
2
87.318/2969
SJaylen Moses
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
50.1
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
86.520/2969
TEZack Turner
3 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
68.5
Run blocking
55.8
Penalties
0
78.631/1017
LBAlexander Kilgore
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
69.8
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.3113/1796
LBJamal Anderson
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.4
Coverage
72.1
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.6148/1796
Availability reports · 8
  • Ira Singleton · DLout · 2026-09-29

    Singleton is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Link Rhodes · RBout · 2026-08-26

    Rhodes has been out of the lineup with a tore ACL injury, and he will be out of commission for the remainder of the season.

  • Yamir Knight · WRQues. · 2026-09-29

    Knight is dealing with un undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston College.

  • Yannick Smith · WRQues. · 2026-09-29

    Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston

  • Nick Reed · KQues. · 2026-10-01

    Reed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston.

  • Miles Uter · TEQues. · 2026-09-12

    Uter is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septembe

  • Christian Rhodes · RBQues. · 2026-09-12

    Rhodes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septem

  • EJ Kelly · RBprobable · 2026-09-17

    Kelly is dealing with an undisclosed injury , but he is likely to play against Louisville on Saturday, 19th September.

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SMU
SYR
vs
Offense
90.1
#23 of 138
QB
76.0
#78 of 138
70.7
#115 of 138
RB
75.7
#66 of 138
73.9
#44 of 138
WR
72.2
#57 of 138
78.6
#28 of 138
TE
70.6
#62 of 138
66.6
#83 of 138
OL
66.3
#87 of 138
Defense
77.2
#33 of 138
DL
75.2
#53 of 138
71.9
#90 of 138
LB
79.7
#23 of 138
78.1
#9 of 138
DB
67.3
#123 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

SMU
opponent
Syracuse
H+20.6
CAL#90
-3.0H
H+10.1
UVA#50
-3.0A
A-13.9
ND#1
-25.7H
H+9.0
BC#121
-0.4A
A-10.0
LOU#27
-8.3H