CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MRMK 0.1%99.9% WAKE
Projected margin
WAKE by 53.4
Projected total
69
80% outcome range
WAKE 36 to WAKE 71
Win probability
WAKE 99.9%

Current team profiles

Merrimack
Wake Forest

When Merrimack has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MRMK offense
—
WAKE defense
#75
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MRMK offense
—
WAKE defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MRMK offense
#94
WAKE defense
#105
Success rates
41%
#94
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#102
0.08
#78
EPA / play
0.19
#102
1.06
#10
Explosiveness
—
14%
#96
Havoc

When Wake Forest has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MRMK defense
—
WAKE offense
#15
EPA comparison
—
0.45
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MRMK defense
—
WAKE offense
#30
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#30
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MRMK defense
#13
WAKE offense
#34
Success rates
39%
#13
48%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#26
0.32
#12
EPA / play
0.19
#33
1.28
#37
Explosiveness
—
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

Merrimack
DLTrent Taylor
4 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
53
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.782/1549
DLBryce Ricks
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.5111/1549
LBMicah Green
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.5
Coverage
60.7
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
41
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
72.6161/1054
DBMakai Young
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.4
Coverage
70.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.6249/1765
DBDanny Simms
36 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.2
Coverage
77.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
56
Passer rating allowed
69.2
Missed tackles
9
71.6301/1765
DLShaheed Armstrong
10 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.4252/1549
Wake Forest
QBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
84.5
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
51.2
Missed tackles
0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MRMK
WAKE
vs
Offense
60.0
#112 of 125
QB
86.0
#33 of 138
67.1
#98 of 126
RB
73.0
#96 of 138
65.9
#96 of 126
WR
81.1
#6 of 138
57.2
#109 of 124
TE
67.3
#78 of 138
62.0
#94 of 125
OL
68.1
#67 of 138
Defense
73.5
#36 of 126
DL
73.4
#65 of 138
69.3
#86 of 126
LB
72.6
#82 of 138
70.5
#81 of 126
DB
77.0
#16 of 138
Common opponents