AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM
Away
Merrimack
—
13p
#46Home
Wake Forest
0-0 · AVR 56.4
43p
MRMK 2%98% WAKE
Spread
WAKE -29.7
Total
55
Moneyline
MRMK—WAKE—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Wake Forest
DBDavaughn Patterson
84.746/1427
LBAiden Hall
84.028/878
DBDeuce Blades II
73.7167/1427
DBKoredell Bartley
69.7245/1427
LBFrank Cusano
69.3157/878
RBTy Clark III
59.7116/514

Projected margin

80% between 13 and 47
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKWAKE +29.795% interval: 6.7 to 52.780% interval: 13 to 46.5+13+47MRMK wins 2%WAKE wins 98%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WAKE 42–14 MRMKWAKE 39–39 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesWAKE 42–35 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWAKE 46–32 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWAKE 49–28 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWAKE 53–25 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesWAKE 56–21 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWAKE 60–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWAKE 63–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWAKE 67–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 35–35 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWAKE 39–32 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWAKE 42–28 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWAKE 46–25 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 49–21 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWAKE 53–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWAKE 56–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWAKE 60–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWAKE 63–7 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWAKE 32–32 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 35–28 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWAKE 39–25 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWAKE 42–21 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWAKE 46–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWAKE 49–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesWAKE 53–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 56–7 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWAKE 60–4 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWAKE 28–28 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 32–25 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWAKE 35–21 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWAKE 39–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWAKE 42–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesWAKE 46–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWAKE 49–7 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWAKE 53–4 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWAKE 56–0 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWAKE 25–25 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 28–21 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWAKE 32–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWAKE 35–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWAKE 39–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWAKE 42–7 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWAKE 46–4 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 49–0 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WAKE 21–21 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWAKE 25–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWAKE 28–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWAKE 32–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWAKE 35–7 MRMK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWAKE 39–4 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWAKE 42–0 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WAKE 18–18 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWAKE 21–14 MRMK neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWAKE 25–11 MRMK neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWAKE 28–7 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWAKE 32–4 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 35–0 MRMK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKWAKE +14WAKE +28WAKE +42WAKE +56margin →