Passing
UVA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UVA offense
- #45
- WAKE defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.29
#45
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UVA 34.5%65.5% WAKE
- Projected margin
- WAKE by 6.2
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UVA 12 to WAKE 25
- Win probability
- WAKE 65.5%
Current team profiles
Virginia
Wake ForestWhen Virginia has the ball
Rushing
WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UVA offense
- #63
- WAKE defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
UVA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UVA offense
- #62
- WAKE defense
- #105
Success rates
44%
#62
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#55
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.17
#98
1.06
#10
Explosiveness
13%
#42
14%
#96
Havoc
When Wake Forest has the ball
Passing
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UVA defense
- #20
- WAKE offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UVA defense
- #84
- WAKE offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UVA defense
- #41
- WAKE offense
- #34
Success rates
37%
#41
48%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#38
0.32
#12
EPA / play
1.11
#25
1.28
#37
Explosiveness
17%
#42
11%
#18
Havoc
Current key players
VirginiaQBEli Holstein
180 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
85.440/729
LBJustin Rowe
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.8
- Coverage
- 94.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
94.13/1796
SKeke Adams
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.5
- Coverage
- 91.7
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.16/2969
TELukas Ungar
2 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 64.0
- Run blocking
- 58.8
- Penalties
- 0
86.010/1017
CBOmillio Agard
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.3
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 10
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.4111/2969
DBPatrick Campbell
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.0
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.8241/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Jason Hammond · DLout · 2026-09-15
Jason is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Rico Flores Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Flores left previous game due to a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Peyton Lewis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Lewis is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Triston Ward · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Ward is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Newton-Short · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Newton-Short is managing a hamstring injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jack Stevens · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tim Hamann · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Hamann is sidelined by a undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
Wake ForestQBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 84.5
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 57
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UVAVirginia
WAKEWake Forest
vs
Offense
85.4
#37 of 138
QB
Quarterback
86.0
#33 of 138
69.8
#122 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.0
#96 of 138
69.4
#89 of 138
WR
Receivers
81.1
#6 of 138
86.0
#10 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.3
#78 of 138
81.1
#2 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.1
#67 of 138
Defense
77.6
#29 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.4
#65 of 138
78.8
#31 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.6
#82 of 138
76.8
#17 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.0
#16 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Virginia
opponent
Wake Forest
Hhome-2.2
DUKEDuke#34+1.4Hhome
Aaway-10.1
SMUSMU#39-6.5Aaway
Hhome+26.0
NCSUNC State#63+24.0Aaway
Hhome+13.2
CALCalifornia#90+11.4Aaway