Passing
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WAKE offense
- #15
- LOU defense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.33
#116
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WAKE 20.7%79.3% LOU
- Projected margin
- LOU by 12.6
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- WAKE 7 to LOU 32
- Win probability
- LOU 79.3%
FinalWAKE 30 · LOU 27model had +12.6, off by 15.6
Current team profiles
Wake Forest
LouisvilleWhen Wake Forest has the ball
Rushing
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WAKE offense
- #30
- LOU defense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WAKE offense
- #34
- LOU defense
- #74
Success rates
48%
#34
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#12
0.12
#93
EPA / play
1.28
#37
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
11%
#18
14%
#104
Havoc
When Louisville has the ball
Passing
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WAKE defense
- #75
- LOU offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WAKE defense
- #41
- LOU offense
- #17
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.25
#17
Rush EPA
Drive success
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WAKE defense
- #105
- LOU offense
- #18
Success rates
44%
#105
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#78
0.34
#6
EPA / play
1.06
#10
1.39
#9
Explosiveness
14%
#96
15%
#84
Havoc
Current key players
Wake ForestQBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 84.5
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 57
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.
LouisvilleQBLincoln Kienholz
1394 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
83.951/729
LBTrent Carter
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.013/1796
RBBraxton Jennings
31 yds · 1 TD · 7.8 YPC
86.326/1044
WRTre Richardson
28 rec · 445 yds · 2 TD
80.258/2069
LBJacob Smith
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.1117/1796
DBBrycen Scott
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.5
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 92
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.6204/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Antonio Watts · CBout · 2026-09-25
Watts has been out of commission due to a knee injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Kris Hughes · WRout · 2026-08-11
Huges has been out of commission due to lower body injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Keyjuan Brown · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Hamilton Atkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Atkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Elizjah Lewis · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anwar O'Neal · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
O'Neal is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Montavin Quisenberry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Quisenberry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Payton Cook · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WAKEWake Forest
LOULouisville
vs
Offense
86.0
#33 of 138
QB
Quarterback
83.9
#45 of 138
73.0
#96 of 138
RB
Running backs
82.9
#21 of 138
81.1
#6 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.4
#38 of 138
67.3
#78 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.7
#52 of 138
68.1
#67 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.9
#104 of 138
Defense
73.4
#65 of 138
DL
Defensive line
83.8
#4 of 138
72.6
#82 of 138
LB
Linebackers
79.3
#24 of 138
77.0
#16 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.7
#87 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Wake Forest
opponent
Louisville
Hhome+54.0
STANStanford#106+15.7Hhome
Aaway+24.0
NCSUNC State#63-3.0Aaway
Aaway-6.5
SMUSMU#39+10.0Hhome
Aaway+6.0
GTGeorgia Tech#66+3.6Aaway