CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
STAN 15.4%84.6% WAKE
Projected margin
WAKE by 15.1
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
STAN 6 to WAKE 35
Win probability
WAKE 84.6%
FinalSTAN 3 · WAKE 57model had +15.1, off by 38.9

Current team profiles

Stanford
Wake Forest

When Stanford has the ball

Passing

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#88
WAKE defense
#75
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#126
WAKE defense
#41
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#126
WAKE defense
#105
Success rates
37%
#126
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#111
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.20
#91
1.06
#10
Explosiveness
14%
#60
14%
#96
Havoc

When Wake Forest has the ball

Passing

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#136
WAKE offense
#15
EPA comparison
0.47
#136
0.45
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#138
WAKE offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.32
#138
0.20
#30
Rush EPA

Drive success

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#133
WAKE offense
#34
Success rates
50%
#133
48%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
0.37
#138
0.32
#12
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.28
#37
Explosiveness
11%
#131
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

Stanford
QBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
70.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.2
Coverage
74.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
52.4
Missed tackles
2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
  • Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

Wake Forest
QBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
84.5
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
51.2
Missed tackles
0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

STAN
WAKE
vs
Offense
70.0
#100 of 138
QB
86.0
#33 of 138
73.3
#92 of 138
RB
73.0
#96 of 138
72.2
#56 of 138
WR
81.1
#6 of 138
57.5
#133 of 138
TE
67.3
#78 of 138
67.0
#79 of 138
OL
68.1
#67 of 138
Defense
65.3
#134 of 138
DL
73.4
#65 of 138
68.4
#119 of 138
LB
72.6
#82 of 138
68.3
#116 of 138
DB
77.0
#16 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Stanford
opponent
Wake Forest
H-6.2
NCSU#63
+24.0A
A-28.0
DUKE#34
+1.4H
H-39.0
MIA#4
-13.0H
A-15.7
LOU#27
+3.0A
A-4.0
CAL#90
+11.4A
H-16.7
SMU#39
-6.5A
H+7.0
GT#66
+6.0A