CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WAKE 76.8%23.2% CAL
Projected margin
WAKE by 11.4
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
WAKE 30 to CAL 7
Win probability
WAKE 76.8%

Current team profiles

Wake Forest
California

When Wake Forest has the ball

Passing

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE offense
#15
CAL defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE offense
#30
CAL defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.19
#122
Rush EPA

Drive success

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE offense
#34
CAL defense
#36
Success rates
48%
#34
37%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#12
0.06
#70
EPA / play
1.28
#37
1.40
#128
Explosiveness
11%
#18
14%
#97
Havoc

When California has the ball

Passing

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE defense
#75
CAL offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE defense
#41
CAL offense
#123
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE defense
#105
CAL offense
#113
Success rates
44%
#105
39%
#113
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#78
0.01
#119
EPA / play
1.06
#10
1.28
#42
Explosiveness
14%
#96
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Wake Forest
QBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
84.5
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
51.2
Missed tackles
0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.

California
QBDominic Ingrassia
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.3103/729
DBKingston Lopa
27 tkl · 1 PD · 5 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.6
Coverage
90.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
42.1
Missed tackles
6
85.523/2969
RBAdam Mohammed
336 yds · 3 TD · 4.6 YPC
78.5100/1044
DBCam Sidney
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
37
Passer rating allowed
59.2
Missed tackles
1
76.6142/2969
DBIsaiah Crosby
24 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.7
Coverage
77.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
22.2
Missed tackles
3
76.3150/2969
LBJoshua Pierce
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.6301/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Adam Mohammed · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mohammed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is un determined if he will play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sagapolutele is dealing with a head injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Vargas · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Vargas is dealing with a leg injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17t

  • Cole Boscia · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Boscia is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rico Walker · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established to play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trevor Rogers · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rogers is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established to play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WAKE
CAL
vs
Offense
86.0
#33 of 138
QB
76.3
#77 of 138
73.0
#96 of 138
RB
73.2
#93 of 138
81.1
#6 of 138
WR
66.0
#128 of 138
67.3
#78 of 138
TE
57.9
#132 of 138
68.1
#67 of 138
OL
67.0
#78 of 138
Defense
73.4
#65 of 138
DL
70.3
#102 of 138
72.6
#82 of 138
LB
70.6
#99 of 138
77.0
#16 of 138
DB
77.1
#15 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Wake Forest
opponent
California
H+54.0
STAN#106
+4.0H
A+24.0
NCSU#63
-10.2A
H+6.2
UVA#50
-13.2A
A-6.5
SMU#39
-20.6A