AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 7:00 PM
#115Away
Akron
0-0 · AVR 34.5
8p
#46Home
Wake Forest
0-0 · AVR 56.4
42p
AKR 1%99% WAKE
Spread
WAKE -34.6
Total
50
Moneyline
AKR—WAKE—
Against the market
WAKE +10.6line WAKE -24.0

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← AKR advantageevenWAKE advantage →
AKR throw
WAKE +49
AKR run
WAKE +47
WAKE throw
WAKE +12
WAKE run
WAKE +25

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
when AKR runs
Jordan Gant
vs
Aiden Hall
RB · AKR
MLB · WAKE
62.7
84.0
WAKE +21
when AKR throws
Marcel Williams
vs
Davaughn Patterson
X · AKR
CB1 · WAKE
54.0
84.7
WAKE +31
off the edge· hunting Poffenbarger
Colin Lyons
vs
Langston Hardy
LT · AKR
EDGE · WAKE
38.0
96.3
WAKE +58
when WAKE throws
Carlos Hernandez
vs
Zach Hobson
X · WAKE
CB1 · AKR
56.6
69.2
AKR +13
when WAKE runs
Ty Clark III
vs
Cam Macon
RB · WAKE
MLB · AKR
59.7
43.9
WAKE +16
over the middle
Kamrean Johnson
vs
Rodrick Hunter
TE · WAKE
FS · AKR
45.8
55.4
AKR +10

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Akron
CBZach Hobson
69.2258/1427
DBCatrell White
66.7316/1427
RBJordan Gant
62.789/514
DBIesa Jarmon
59.3500/1427
WRMarcel Williams
54.0192/777
WRKyan Mason
53.5205/777
Wake Forest
DBDavaughn Patterson
84.746/1427
LBAiden Hall
84.028/878
DBDeuce Blades II
73.7167/1427
DBKoredell Bartley
69.7245/1427
LBFrank Cusano
69.3157/878
RBTy Clark III
59.7116/514

Projected margin

80% between 14 and 52
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKWAKE +34.6MKT95% interval: 6 to 6080% interval: 14 to 52+14+52AKR wins 1%WAKE wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WAKE 42–7 AKRWAKE 39–32 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 42–28 AKR neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWAKE 46–25 AKR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWAKE 49–21 AKR neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 53–18 AKR neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWAKE 56–14 AKR neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 60–11 AKR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWAKE 63–7 AKR neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWAKE 67–4 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 35–28 AKR neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWAKE 39–25 AKR neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWAKE 42–21 AKR neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWAKE 46–18 AKR neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWAKE 49–14 AKR neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWAKE 53–11 AKR neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWAKE 56–7 AKR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWAKE 60–4 AKR neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWAKE 63–0 AKR neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWAKE 32–25 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWAKE 35–21 AKR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWAKE 39–18 AKR neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWAKE 42–14 AKR neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesWAKE 46–11 AKR neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesWAKE 49–7 AKR neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWAKE 53–4 AKR neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWAKE 56–0 AKR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WAKE 28–21 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWAKE 32–18 AKR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesWAKE 35–14 AKR neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWAKE 39–11 AKR neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesWAKE 42–7 AKR neighborhood · ~4.2% of outcomesWAKE 46–4 AKR neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesWAKE 49–0 AKR neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WAKE 25–18 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWAKE 28–14 AKR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWAKE 32–11 AKR neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWAKE 35–7 AKR neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesWAKE 39–4 AKR neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesWAKE 42–0 AKR neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WAKE 21–14 AKR neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWAKE 25–11 AKR neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWAKE 28–7 AKR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWAKE 32–4 AKR neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWAKE 35–0 AKR neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WAKE 18–11 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWAKE 21–7 AKR neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWAKE 25–4 AKR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWAKE 28–0 AKR neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalWAKE +7WAKE +21WAKE +35WAKE +49WAKE +63margin →