CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
SYR 27.2%72.8% NCSU
Projected margin
NCSU by 9.4
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
SYR 9 to NCSU 28
Win probability
NCSU 72.8%

Current team profiles

Syracuse
NC State

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#81
NCSU defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.18
#81
0.36
#122
Pass EPA

Rushing

NCSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#72
NCSU defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

Same rank
SYR offense
#88
NCSU defense
#88
Success rates
42%
#88
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#94
0.16
#109
EPA / play
1.33
#22
1.30
#104
Explosiveness
13%
#39
16%
#65
Havoc

When NC State has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#7
NCSU offense
#44
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.31
#44
Pass EPA

Rushing

NCSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#91
NCSU offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

NCSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#65
NCSU offense
#48
Success rates
40%
#65
46%
#48
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.19
#53
EPA / play
1.18
#47
1.24
#63
Explosiveness
18%
#38
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

NC State
QBWill Wilson
33 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
86.134/729
RBDylan McCoy
73 yds · 1 TD · 18.2 YPC
94.11/1044
TEIan Flynt
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.9
Run blocking
81.3
Penalties
0
90.51/1017
LBZane Williams
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.728/1796
CBMichael Tate
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
77.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
78.485/2969
LBElijah Satchell
7 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
53.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
41
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
75.4172/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Gus Ritchey · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ritchey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Tyreek Copper · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Copper is bothered by a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Noah Moss · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Moss is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Stanford on Saturday, October

  • Ian Flynt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Flynt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Stanford on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Vander Ploog · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ploog is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Stanford on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nick Konieczynski · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Konieczynski is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Stanford on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SYR
NCSU
vs
Offense
76.0
#78 of 138
QB
86.1
#32 of 138
75.7
#66 of 138
RB
92.4
#1 of 138
72.2
#57 of 138
WR
68.1
#107 of 138
70.6
#62 of 138
TE
90.5
#1 of 138
66.3
#87 of 138
OL
73.9
#21 of 138
Defense
75.2
#53 of 138
DL
71.7
#89 of 138
79.7
#23 of 138
LB
78.8
#30 of 138
67.3
#123 of 138
DB
72.7
#61 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Syracuse
opponent
NC State
A-3.0
UVA#50
-26.0A
H-3.0
CAL#90
+10.2H
H-8.3
LOU#27
+3.0H
A-6.4
UNC#60
+0.3A