Passing
UNC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NCSU offense
- #44
- UNC defense
- #32
EPA comparison
0.31
#44
0.03
#32
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Carolina Rivalry
Forecast win probability
NCSU 51.3%48.7% UNC
- Projected margin
- NCSU by 0.3
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- NCSU 19 to UNC 18
- Win probability
- NCSU 51.3%
Current team profiles
NC StateNorth CarolinaWhen NC State has the ball
Rushing
NCSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NCSU offense
- #72
- UNC defense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
NCSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NCSU offense
- #48
- UNC defense
- #100
Success rates
46%
#48
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#53
0.01
#47
EPA / play
1.24
#63
0.99
#4
Explosiveness
15%
#79
13%
#119
Havoc
When North Carolina has the ball
Passing
UNC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NCSU defense
- #122
- UNC offense
- #78
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.19
#78
Pass EPA
Rushing
NCSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NCSU defense
- #68
- UNC offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NCSU defense
- #88
- UNC offense
- #64
Success rates
42%
#88
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#109
0.10
#91
EPA / play
1.30
#104
1.13
#117
Explosiveness
16%
#65
16%
#104
Havoc
Current key players
NC StateQBWill Wilson
33 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
86.134/729
RBDylan McCoy
73 yds · 1 TD · 18.2 YPC
94.11/1044
TEIan Flynt
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.9
- Run blocking
- 81.3
- Penalties
- 0
90.51/1017
LBZane Williams
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.728/1796
CBMichael Tate
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 77.5
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.485/2969
LBElijah Satchell
7 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.5
- Coverage
- 53.3
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 41
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
75.4172/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Gus Ritchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
Ritchey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Tyreek Copper · WRout · 2026-10-10
Copper is bothered by a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Noah Moss · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Moss is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Stanford on Saturday, October
- Ian Flynt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Flynt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Stanford on Saturday, October 24th.
- Vander Ploog · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Ploog is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Stanford on Saturday, October 24th.
- Nick Konieczynski · KQues. · 2026-10-10
Konieczynski is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Stanford on Saturday, October
North CarolinaQBMiles O'Neill
22 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
71.8141/729
DBGreg Smith
21 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 89.6
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
86.619/2969
DBJalon Thompson
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.259/2969
WRZamaurious Robertson
1 rec · 4 yds · 0 TD
78.270/2069
DBAde Willie
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 78.6
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.095/2969
WRJordan Shipp
20 rec · 273 yds · 0 TD
77.877/2069
Availability reports · 5
- Jaxxon Warren · TEout · 2026-08-21
Warren is managing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jordan Washington · TEout · 2026-10-10
Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jaylen Harvey · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Duke on Saturday, October 17th.
- Carnell Warren · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carnell is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Duke on Saturday, October 17th.
- Keeyun Chapman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Chapman is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face against Duke on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NCSUNC State
UNCNorth Carolina
vs
Offense
86.1
#32 of 138
QB
Quarterback
71.8
#96 of 138
92.4
#1 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.5
#131 of 138
68.1
#107 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#62 of 138
90.5
#1 of 138
TE
Tight ends
77.2
#33 of 138
73.9
#21 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.5
#84 of 138
Defense
71.7
#89 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.8
#55 of 138
78.8
#30 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.9
#89 of 138
72.7
#61 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.4
#12 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
NC State
opponent
North Carolina
Aaway-26.0
UVAVirginia#50-8.6Aaway
Hhome-5.2
DUKEDuke#34-13.5Aaway
Hhome+3.0
LOULouisville#27-4.5Hhome
Hhome+9.4
SYRSyracuse#68+6.4Hhome