CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Fri Sep 11 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
RICH 3.6%96.4% NCSU
Projected margin
NCSU by 30.4
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
NCSU 7 to NCSU 52
Win probability
NCSU 96.4%
FinalRICH 0 · NCSU 73model had +30.4, off by 42.6

Current team profiles

Richmond
NC State

When Richmond has the ball

Passing

No comparison
RICH offense
—
NCSU defense
#122
EPA comparison
—
0.36
#122
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
RICH offense
—
NCSU defense
#68
EPA comparison
—
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
RICH offense
#28
NCSU defense
#88
Success rates
46%
#28
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#72
0.16
#109
EPA / play
0.21
#56
1.30
#104
Explosiveness
—
16%
#65
Havoc

When NC State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
RICH defense
—
NCSU offense
#44
EPA comparison
—
0.31
#44
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
RICH defense
—
NCSU offense
#72
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
RICH defense
#1
NCSU offense
#48
Success rates
35%
#1
46%
#48
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#13
0.19
#53
EPA / play
0.17
#4
1.24
#63
Explosiveness
—
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Richmond
RBAziz Foster-Powell
466 yds · 6 TD · 5.2 YPC
84.212/631
DLDaniel Sellers
23 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 6.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.3
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
130
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
81.926/1549
DLBraxton Lassiter
19 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.3
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
135
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
78.753/1549
WRQuanye Veney
17 rec · 259 yds · 2 TD
78.535/1229
DBCaleb Geronomi
21 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.7
Coverage
77.2
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
25
Passer rating allowed
64.6
Missed tackles
2
76.798/1765
DLTJ Baldwin
21 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.5
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
89
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
73.4167/1549
NC State
QBWill Wilson
33 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
86.134/729
RBDylan McCoy
73 yds · 1 TD · 18.2 YPC
94.11/1044
TEIan Flynt
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.9
Run blocking
81.3
Penalties
0
90.51/1017
LBZane Williams
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.728/1796
CBMichael Tate
1 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
77.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
78.485/2969
LBElijah Satchell
7 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
53.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
41
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
75.4172/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Gus Ritchey · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ritchey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Tyreek Copper · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Copper is bothered by a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Noah Moss · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Moss is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Stanford on Saturday, October

  • Ian Flynt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Flynt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Stanford on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Vander Ploog · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ploog is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Stanford on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nick Konieczynski · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Konieczynski is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Stanford on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

RICH
NCSU
vs
Offense
55.4
#120 of 125
QB
86.1
#32 of 138
77.5
#22 of 126
RB
92.4
#1 of 138
70.9
#44 of 126
WR
68.1
#107 of 138
66.1
#56 of 124
TE
90.5
#1 of 138
65.3
#53 of 125
OL
73.9
#21 of 138
Defense
75.2
#25 of 126
DL
71.7
#89 of 138
62.2
#120 of 126
LB
78.8
#30 of 138
66.6
#116 of 126
DB
72.7
#61 of 138
Common opponents