AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Fri Sep 11 · 11:00 PM
Away
Richmond
—
12p
#34Home
NC State
0-1 · AVR 60.6
46p
RICH 1%99% NCSU
Spread
NCSU -33.7
Total
57
Moneyline
RICH—NCSU—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
NC State
QBCJ Bailey
83.115/308
SKing Mack
75.8143/1427
WRTeddy Hoffmannout
73.039/777
RBJayden Scott
72.544/514
LBHarvey Dyson III
70.6134/878
LBPopo Aguirre
66.2197/878

also out — Carmelo McKenzie (DL), Gus Ritchey (TE), Isaiah Crowell, JJ Ferguson Jr. (DL), Rylan Vann (OL), Tyreek Copper (WR)

Projected margin

80% between 17 and 50
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKNCSU +33.795% interval: 10.7 to 56.780% interval: 17 to 50.4+17+50RICH wins 1%NCSU wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ NCSU 46–11 RICHNCSU 42–35 RICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNCSU 46–32 RICH neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesNCSU 49–28 RICH neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesNCSU 53–25 RICH neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesNCSU 56–21 RICH neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesNCSU 60–18 RICH neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNCSU 63–14 RICH neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesNCSU 67–11 RICH neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesNCSU 70–7 RICH neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNCSU 39–32 RICH neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNCSU 42–28 RICH neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesNCSU 46–25 RICH neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesNCSU 49–21 RICH neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNCSU 53–18 RICH neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesNCSU 56–14 RICH neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesNCSU 60–11 RICH neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNCSU 63–7 RICH neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNCSU 67–4 RICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNCSU 35–28 RICH neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesNCSU 39–25 RICH neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesNCSU 42–21 RICH neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesNCSU 46–18 RICH neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesNCSU 49–14 RICH neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesNCSU 53–11 RICH neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesNCSU 56–7 RICH neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNCSU 60–4 RICH neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesNCSU 63–0 RICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNCSU 32–25 RICH neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesNCSU 35–21 RICH neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesNCSU 39–18 RICH neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesNCSU 42–14 RICH neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesNCSU 46–11 RICH neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesNCSU 49–7 RICH neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesNCSU 53–4 RICH neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNCSU 56–0 RICH neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)NCSU 28–21 RICH neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesNCSU 32–18 RICH neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesNCSU 35–14 RICH neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesNCSU 39–11 RICH neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesNCSU 42–7 RICH neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesNCSU 46–4 RICH neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNCSU 49–0 RICH neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)NCSU 25–18 RICH neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNCSU 28–14 RICH neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesNCSU 32–11 RICH neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNCSU 35–7 RICH neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesNCSU 39–4 RICH neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNCSU 42–0 RICH neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)NCSU 21–14 RICH neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNCSU 25–11 RICH neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNCSU 28–7 RICH neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNCSU 32–4 RICH neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNCSU 35–0 RICH neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalNCSU +7NCSU +21NCSU +35NCSU +49NCSU +63margin →