CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
APP 46.0%54.0% MRSH
Projected margin
MRSH by 1.8
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
APP 17 to MRSH 20
Win probability
MRSH 54.0%

Current team profiles

App State
Marshall

When App State has the ball

Passing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#47
MRSH defense
#138
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.50
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#107
MRSH defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#83
MRSH defense
#117
Success rates
42%
#83
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#84
0.31
#135
EPA / play
1.26
#52
1.31
#107
Explosiveness
15%
#87
13%
#113
Havoc

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#41
MRSH offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#56
MRSH offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#72
MRSH offense
#64
Success rates
40%
#72
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#52
0.11
#85
EPA / play
1.06
#12
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
19%
#28
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

APP
MRSH
vs
Offense
91.2
#9 of 138
QB
72.8
#91 of 138
77.7
#49 of 138
RB
72.7
#101 of 138
76.6
#28 of 138
WR
63.4
#136 of 138
67.0
#83 of 138
TE
65.9
#87 of 138
62.7
#116 of 138
OL
65.2
#93 of 138
Defense
76.3
#41 of 138
DL
75.2
#52 of 138
74.1
#68 of 138
LB
66.2
#129 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
DB
71.2
#79 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

App State
opponent
Marshall
H-12.9
JMU#51
-28.0A
A+3.0
CCU#127
-6.0H
H+16.8
ULM#163
+10.7A
A-5.1
USA#96
-0.6H
H-7.0
ODU#130
-2.6A
A-2.6
GASO#102
-3.5A
H+0.8
GAST#81
0.0H