Passing
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OHIO offense
- #92
- USA defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OHIO 34.0%66.0% USA
- Projected margin
- USA by 5.7
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- OHIO 14 to USA 27
- Win probability
- USA 66.0%
FinalOHIO 36 · USA 41model had +5.7, off by 0.7
Current team profiles
Ohio
South AlabamaWhen Ohio has the ball
Rushing
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OHIO offense
- #45
- USA defense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.20
#125
Rush EPA
Drive success
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OHIO offense
- #46
- USA defense
- #137
Success rates
46%
#46
51%
#137
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#69
0.27
#134
EPA / play
1.11
#124
1.36
#119
Explosiveness
14%
#56
17%
#52
Havoc
When South Alabama has the ball
Passing
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OHIO defense
- #116
- USA offense
- #37
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.34
#37
Pass EPA
Rushing
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OHIO defense
- #88
- USA offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OHIO defense
- #88
- USA offense
- #69
Success rates
42%
#88
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.23
#36
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.33
#23
Explosiveness
16%
#70
13%
#34
Havoc
Current key players
OhioQBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 31
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.9
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10
Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.
South AlabamaQBBishop Davenport
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0129/729
RBPJ Martin
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.985/1044
CBDamyrion Darby
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 42.8
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 115
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
76.1156/2969
SDeon Callins
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.6252/2969
LBXavious Anderson Jr.
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.1
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.4242/1796
CBJaylen Moson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 53.1
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 116
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
70.0446/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Brian Barnes · WRout · 2026-10-01
Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Khatori Marion · WRout · 2026-10-01
Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Maddox Lynch · TEout · 2026-10-01
Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- D. White · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OHIOOhio
USASouth Alabama
vs
Offense
81.9
#52 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.0
#90 of 138
67.8
#130 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.0
#47 of 138
70.3
#77 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.0
#110 of 138
60.0
#122 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.4
#109 of 138
67.7
#69 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.6
#91 of 138
Defense
70.5
#98 of 138
DL
Defensive line
65.2
#135 of 138
80.7
#17 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.2
#128 of 138
66.7
#130 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.4
#106 of 138