AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM
Away
SE Louisiana
—
21p
#100Home
South Alabama
0-0 · AVR 39.5
32p
SELA 26%75% USA
Spread
USA -10.9
Total
53
Moneyline
SELA+292USA-292
Against the market
SELA +1.6line USA -12.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
South Alabama
SJayvon Henderson
69.9241/1427
RBKeenan Phillips
60.0110/514
LBSeidrion Langston
59.9293/878
LBTirrell Johnson
56.7359/878
QBBishop Davenport
56.584/308
SDallas Young
56.5573/1427

Projected margin

80% between -10 and 30
-14-7+7+14PKUSA +10.9MKT95% interval: -21 to 4180% interval: -10 to 30-10+30SELA wins 26%USA wins 75%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ USA 35–21 SELAUSA 32–46 SELA neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSA 35–42 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 39–39 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 42–35 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 46–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 49–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 53–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 56–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSA 60–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesUSA 28–42 SELA neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSA 32–39 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 35–35 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 39–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 42–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 46–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 49–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 53–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 56–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUSA 25–39 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 28–35 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 32–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 35–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 39–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 42–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 46–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 49–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 53–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUSA 21–35 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 25–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 28–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 32–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 35–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 39–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 42–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 46–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 49–7 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUSA 18–32 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 21–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 25–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 28–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 32–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 35–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 39–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 42–7 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 46–4 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUSA 14–28 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 18–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 21–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 25–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 28–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 32–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 35–7 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 39–4 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSA 42–0 SELA neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUSA 11–25 SELA neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSA 14–21 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 18–18 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 21–14 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 25–11 SELA neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSA 28–7 SELA neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSA 32–4 SELA neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSA 35–0 SELA neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalSELA +14PKUSA +14USA +28USA +42margin →