Passing
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA offense
- #37
- UK defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.34
#37
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USA 15.6%84.4% UK
- Projected margin
- UK by 15.3
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- USA 4 to UK 35
- Win probability
- UK 84.4%
FinalUSA 21 · UK 45model had +15.3, off by 8.7
Current team profiles
South Alabama
KentuckyWhen South Alabama has the ball
Rushing
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA offense
- #30
- UK defense
- #81
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.06
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA offense
- #69
- UK defense
- #109
Success rates
44%
#69
44%
#109
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#36
0.04
#56
EPA / play
1.33
#23
1.17
#44
Explosiveness
13%
#34
18%
#36
Havoc
When Kentucky has the ball
Passing
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA defense
- #122
- UK offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA defense
- #125
- UK offense
- #35
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
UK offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA defense
- #137
- UK offense
- #20
Success rates
51%
#137
50%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#134
0.21
#43
EPA / play
1.36
#119
1.15
#106
Explosiveness
17%
#52
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
South AlabamaQBBishop Davenport
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0129/729
RBPJ Martin
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.985/1044
CBDamyrion Darby
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 42.8
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 115
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
76.1156/2969
SDeon Callins
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.6252/2969
LBXavious Anderson Jr.
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.1
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.4242/1796
CBJaylen Moson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 53.1
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 116
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
70.0446/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Brian Barnes · WRout · 2026-10-01
Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Khatori Marion · WRout · 2026-10-01
Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Maddox Lynch · TEout · 2026-10-01
Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- D. White · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.
KentuckyQBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.8
- Run blocking
- 78.1
- Penalties
- 0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 64.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 66.7
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 68
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22
Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USASouth Alabama
UKKentucky
vs
Offense
73.0
#90 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#126 of 138
78.0
#47 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.1
#30 of 138
68.0
#110 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.6
#75 of 138
61.4
#109 of 138
TE
Tight ends
80.5
#24 of 138
65.6
#91 of 138
OL
Offensive line
74.5
#20 of 138
Defense
65.2
#135 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.6
#90 of 138
66.2
#128 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.1
#95 of 138
69.4
#106 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.3
#92 of 138