CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USA 46.6%53.4% TULN
Projected margin
TULN by 1.3
Projected total
48
80% outcome range
USA 17 to TULN 21
Win probability
TULN 53.4%
FinalUSA 24 · TULN 28model had +1.3, off by 2.7

Current team profiles

South Alabama
Tulane

When South Alabama has the ball

Passing

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA offense
#37
TULN defense
#109
EPA comparison
0.34
#37
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA offense
#30
TULN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA offense
#69
TULN defense
#81
Success rates
44%
#69
42%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#36
0.17
#112
EPA / play
1.33
#23
1.20
#62
Explosiveness
13%
#34
11%
#135
Havoc

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA defense
#122
TULN offense
#119
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA defense
#125
TULN offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA defense
#137
TULN offense
#133
Success rates
51%
#137
34%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#134
0.07
#97
EPA / play
1.36
#119
1.57
#1
Explosiveness
17%
#52
20%
#132
Havoc

Current key players

South Alabama
QBBishop Davenport
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0129/729
RBPJ Martin
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.985/1044
CBDamyrion Darby
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
42.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
115
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
4
76.1156/2969
SDeon Callins
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
73.6252/2969
LBXavious Anderson Jr.
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
73.4242/1796
CBJaylen Moson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
53.1
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
116
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
70.0446/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Brian Barnes · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Khatori Marion · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Maddox Lynch · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • D. White · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.

Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USA
TULN
vs
Offense
73.0
#90 of 138
QB
72.4
#94 of 138
78.0
#47 of 138
RB
75.5
#68 of 138
68.0
#110 of 138
WR
69.7
#85 of 138
61.4
#109 of 138
TE
65.0
#89 of 138
65.6
#91 of 138
OL
61.6
#122 of 138
Defense
65.2
#135 of 138
DL
78.4
#21 of 138
66.2
#128 of 138
LB
72.1
#86 of 138
69.4
#106 of 138
DB
67.8
#120 of 138
Common opponents