Passing
TROY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM offense
- #111
- TROY defense
- #71
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.15
#71
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ULM 17.2%82.8% TROY
- Projected margin
- TROY by 14.5
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- ULM 4 to TROY 33
- Win probability
- TROY 82.8%
Current team profiles
UL MonroeTroyWhen UL Monroe has the ball
Rushing
TROY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM offense
- #100
- TROY defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
TROY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM offense
- #88
- TROY defense
- #64
Success rates
42%
#88
40%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#121
0.07
#73
EPA / play
1.16
#102
1.35
#116
Explosiveness
17%
#120
17%
#59
Havoc
When Troy has the ball
Passing
TROY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM defense
- #132
- TROY offense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
TROY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM defense
- #136
- TROY offense
- #45
EPA comparison
0.27
#136
0.16
#45
Rush EPA
Drive success
TROY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM defense
- #136
- TROY offense
- #79
Success rates
51%
#136
43%
#79
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#137
0.13
#78
EPA / play
1.24
#84
1.26
#47
Explosiveness
11%
#133
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
UL MonroeQBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.8
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 55
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.0
- Coverage
- 67.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 70.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 35
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03
Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01
Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.
TroyQBGoose Crowder
822 yds · 7 TD · 4 INT
60.7263/729
SJustin Powe
26 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 37
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.1
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.952/2969
RBGavin Griffin
259 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
77.6124/1044
DBDonnie Smith
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.0
- Coverage
- 67.2
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 100.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.3262/2969
SJamarion Keyes
17 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.5
- Coverage
- 68.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.3
- Missed tackles
- 1
72.9285/2969
LBTJ Thompson
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.2
- Coverage
- 67.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.3282/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Jackson Worley · TEout · 2026-10-03
Worley has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Fabian Rogosch · TEQues. · 2026-10-06
Rogosch is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Louisiana on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ULMUL Monroe
TROYTroy
vs
Offense
70.1
#99 of 138
QB
Quarterback
60.7
#130 of 138
73.6
#91 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.6
#59 of 138
69.2
#92 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.0
#121 of 138
60.2
#118 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.3
#68 of 138
64.2
#103 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.6
#123 of 138
Defense
70.7
#96 of 138
DL
Defensive line
64.1
#138 of 138
71.7
#91 of 138
LB
Linebackers
69.1
#112 of 138
63.4
#137 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.0
#71 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UL Monroe
opponent
Troy
Hhome-9.6
USMSouthern Miss#139+21.0Hhome
Hhome-11.4
LTLouisiana Tech#87+0.4Hhome
Aaway-15.5
ARSTArkansas State#91-3.7Aaway
Aaway-17.0
USASouth Alabama#96-7.4Aaway
Hhome-15.3
ULLouisiana#92-8.8Aaway