Passing
UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TROY offense
- #101
- UL defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.22
#93
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 5:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TROY 28.7%71.3% UL
- Projected margin
- UL by 8.8
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- TROY 10 to UL 27
- Win probability
- UL 71.3%
Current team profiles
TroyLouisianaWhen Troy has the ball
Rushing
UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TROY offense
- #45
- UL defense
- #7
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
-0.20
#7
Rush EPA
Drive success
TROY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TROY offense
- #79
- UL defense
- #94
Success rates
43%
#79
42%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#78
-0.04
#27
EPA / play
1.26
#47
1.10
#20
Explosiveness
17%
#114
18%
#39
Havoc
When Louisiana has the ball
Passing
UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TROY defense
- #71
- UL offense
- #62
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TROY defense
- #56
- UL offense
- #45
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.16
#45
Rush EPA
Drive success
TROY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TROY defense
- #64
- UL offense
- #68
Success rates
40%
#64
44%
#68
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#73
0.15
#70
EPA / play
1.35
#116
1.19
#95
Explosiveness
17%
#59
14%
#52
Havoc
Current key players
TroyQBGoose Crowder
822 yds · 7 TD · 4 INT
60.7263/729
SJustin Powe
26 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 37
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.1
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.952/2969
RBGavin Griffin
259 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
77.6124/1044
DBDonnie Smith
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.0
- Coverage
- 67.2
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 100.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.3262/2969
SJamarion Keyes
17 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.5
- Coverage
- 68.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.3
- Missed tackles
- 1
72.9285/2969
LBTJ Thompson
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.2
- Coverage
- 67.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.3282/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Jackson Worley · TEout · 2026-10-03
Worley has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Fabian Rogosch · TEQues. · 2026-10-06
Rogosch is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Louisiana on Saturday, October 17th.
LouisianaQBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.8
- Coverage
- 90.0
- Targets allowed
- 29
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 157
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.9
- Missed tackles
- 6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.6
- Coverage
- 77.6
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 53.4
- Coverage
- 48.2
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
- Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07
Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TROYTroy
ULLouisiana
vs
Offense
60.7
#130 of 138
QB
Quarterback
89.7
#25 of 138
76.6
#59 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.6
#90 of 138
67.0
#121 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.0
#93 of 138
69.3
#68 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.5
#54 of 138
61.6
#123 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.4
#124 of 138
Defense
64.1
#138 of 138
DL
Defensive line
66.1
#133 of 138
69.1
#112 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.2
#104 of 138
72.0
#71 of 138
DB
Secondary
78.5
#7 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Troy
opponent
Louisiana
Hhome+21.0
USMSouthern Miss#139+3.1Aaway
Aaway-7.4
USASouth Alabama#96+4.0Hhome
Aaway-3.7
ARSTArkansas State#91+3.0Hhome
Hhome+0.4
LTLouisiana Tech#87-1.0Aaway
Hhome+14.5
ULMUL Monroe#163+15.3Aaway