CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CCU 6.4%93.6% JMU
Projected margin
JMU by 23.9
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
JMU 5 to JMU 42
Win probability
JMU 93.6%

Current team profiles

Coastal Carolina
James Madison

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#78
JMU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#72
JMU defense
#22
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#111
JMU defense
#22
Success rates
39%
#111
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#82
-0.05
#22
EPA / play
1.33
#24
1.29
#100
Explosiveness
19%
#130
17%
#59
Havoc

When James Madison has the ball

Passing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#112
JMU offense
#22
EPA comparison
0.31
#112
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#73
JMU offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.21
#28
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#114
JMU offense
#37
Success rates
45%
#114
48%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#89
0.29
#20
EPA / play
1.10
#23
1.24
#65
Explosiveness
16%
#68
10%
#13
Havoc

Current key players

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

James Madison
QBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.1
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
98.7
Missed tackles
4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
69.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.1
Coverage
68.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.1
Coverage
67.8
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
119
Passer rating allowed
65.4
Missed tackles
5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCU
JMU
vs
Offense
75.2
#82 of 138
QB
81.7
#54 of 138
71.1
#111 of 138
RB
71.7
#107 of 138
73.4
#46 of 138
WR
74.5
#36 of 138
60.3
#117 of 138
TE
73.1
#45 of 138
67.2
#76 of 138
OL
71.7
#39 of 138
Defense
71.9
#88 of 138
DL
76.6
#39 of 138
68.4
#120 of 138
LB
75.0
#59 of 138
75.8
#25 of 138
DB
74.0
#45 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Coastal Carolina
opponent
James Madison
H-2.1
ODU#130
+26.0A
A-10.1
GAST#81
+16.5H
H-17.0
LIB#77
+7.0H
A+6.0
MRSH#124
+28.0H
H-3.0
APP#100
+12.9A
H-7.0
GASO#102
+3.0A