Passing
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #22
- CONN defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JMU 74.0%26.0% CONN
- Projected margin
- JMU by 9.8
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- JMU 28 to CONN 9
- Win probability
- JMU 74.0%
Current team profiles
James Madison
UConnWhen James Madison has the ball
Rushing
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #28
- CONN defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #37
- CONN defense
- #92
Success rates
48%
#37
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#20
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.24
#65
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
10%
#13
16%
#63
Havoc
When UConn has the ball
Passing
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #41
- CONN offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #22
- CONN offense
- #28
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.21
#28
Rush EPA
Drive success
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #22
- CONN offense
- #52
Success rates
35%
#22
45%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#22
0.22
#38
EPA / play
1.29
#100
1.40
#7
Explosiveness
17%
#59
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
James MadisonQBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.1
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 98.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 69.4
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 39
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.1
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 83.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.1
- Coverage
- 67.8
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 119
- Passer rating allowed
- 65.4
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.
UConnQBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 83.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 30.8
- Run blocking
- 71.7
- Penalties
- 2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05
Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
JMUJames Madison
CONNUConn
vs
Offense
81.7
#54 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.0
#12 of 138
71.7
#107 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.8
#42 of 138
74.5
#36 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.7
#18 of 138
73.1
#45 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.1
#42 of 138
71.7
#39 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#40 of 138
Defense
76.6
#39 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.3
#93 of 138
75.0
#59 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.2
#78 of 138
74.0
#45 of 138
DB
Secondary
64.0
#136 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
James Madison
opponent
UConn
Aaway+26.0
ODUOld Dominion#130+6.7Hhome
Aaway+14.9
USMSouthern Miss#139+28.0Aaway