CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JMU 82.5%17.5% GASO
Projected margin
JMU by 15.1
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
JMU 35 to GASO 5
Win probability
JMU 82.5%
FinalJMU 27 · GASO 24model had -15.1, off by 12.1

Current team profiles

James Madison
Georgia Southern

When James Madison has the ball

Passing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU offense
#22
GASO defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
0.26
#102
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU offense
#28
GASO defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU offense
#37
GASO defense
#52
Success rates
48%
#37
39%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#20
0.09
#81
EPA / play
1.24
#65
1.15
#32
Explosiveness
10%
#13
17%
#52
Havoc

When Georgia Southern has the ball

Passing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU defense
#41
GASO offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU defense
#22
GASO offense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU defense
#22
GASO offense
#75
Success rates
35%
#22
43%
#75
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#22
0.14
#75
EPA / play
1.29
#100
1.22
#81
Explosiveness
17%
#59
17%
#105
Havoc

Current key players

James Madison
QBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.1
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
98.7
Missed tackles
4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
69.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.1
Coverage
68.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.1
Coverage
67.8
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
119
Passer rating allowed
65.4
Missed tackles
5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

Georgia Southern
QBWeston Bryan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.782/729
LBMJ Stroud
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.4
Coverage
65.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
79.787/1796
DBJakyri Jones
29 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.6
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
49
Passer rating allowed
69.1
Missed tackles
4
76.5145/2969
RBTaeo Todd
48 yds · 0 TD · 2.7 YPC
74.1192/1044
DBChace Calicut
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
88.7
Coverage
64.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
62.5
Missed tackles
1
73.2268/2969
WRCam King
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
72.9172/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Ashton Hollins · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Hollins is liad up with a shoulder injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

JMU
GASO
vs
Offense
81.7
#54 of 138
QB
78.7
#63 of 138
71.7
#107 of 138
RB
73.2
#95 of 138
74.5
#36 of 138
WR
71.3
#70 of 138
73.1
#45 of 138
TE
66.0
#85 of 138
71.7
#39 of 138
OL
67.9
#68 of 138
Defense
76.6
#39 of 138
DL
67.9
#123 of 138
75.0
#59 of 138
LB
73.5
#75 of 138
74.0
#45 of 138
DB
71.7
#73 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

James Madison
opponent
Georgia Southern
A+26.0
ODU#130
-1.8A
H+28.0
MRSH#124
+3.5H
H+16.5
GAST#81
-4.5A
H+20.6
TROY#111
-0.4A
H+23.9
CCU#127
+7.0A
A+12.9
APP#100
+2.6H