CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GAST 14.3%85.7% JMU
Projected margin
JMU by 16.5
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
GAST 2 to JMU 35
Win probability
JMU 85.7%

Current team profiles

Georgia State
James Madison

When Georgia State has the ball

Passing

GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#12
JMU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#63
JMU defense
#22
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST offense
#41
JMU defense
#22
Success rates
47%
#41
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
-0.05
#22
EPA / play
1.29
#36
1.29
#100
Explosiveness
11%
#14
17%
#59
Havoc

When James Madison has the ball

Passing

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#7
JMU offense
#22
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#73
JMU offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.21
#28
Rush EPA

Drive success

GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
GAST defense
#30
JMU offense
#37
Success rates
35%
#30
48%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.29
#20
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.24
#65
Explosiveness
20%
#15
10%
#13
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia State
QBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.9
Coverage
62.0
Pressures
25
Pass-rush snaps
93
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.3
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
James Madison
QBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.1
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
98.7
Missed tackles
4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
69.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.1
Coverage
68.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.1
Coverage
67.8
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
119
Passer rating allowed
65.4
Missed tackles
5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GAST
JMU
vs
Offense
90.3
#21 of 138
QB
81.7
#54 of 138
77.2
#53 of 138
RB
71.7
#107 of 138
74.1
#41 of 138
WR
74.5
#36 of 138
64.8
#91 of 138
TE
73.1
#45 of 138
72.2
#33 of 138
OL
71.7
#39 of 138
Defense
72.4
#78 of 138
DL
76.6
#39 of 138
85.7
#2 of 138
LB
75.0
#59 of 138
69.8
#101 of 138
DB
74.0
#45 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia State
opponent
James Madison
A0.0
MRSH#124
+28.0H
H+10.1
CCU#127
+23.9H
A-0.8
APP#100
+12.9A
H+32.0
ODU#130
+26.0A
H+4.5
GASO#102
+3.0A