CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FIU 30.3%69.7% LIB
Projected margin
LIB by 8.1
Projected total
47
80% outcome range
FIU 10 to LIB 27
Win probability
LIB 69.7%

Current team profiles

Florida International
Liberty

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#107
LIB defense
#15
EPA comparison
0.10
#107
-0.04
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#129
LIB defense
#73
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#115
LIB defense
#13
Success rates
39%
#115
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#124
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
1.13
#116
1.34
#115
Explosiveness
16%
#98
19%
#24
Havoc

When Liberty has the ball

Passing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#14
LIB offense
#47
EPA comparison
-0.05
#14
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#29
LIB offense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#11
LIB offense
#30
Success rates
34%
#11
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#14
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.14
#28
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
18%
#31
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Liberty
QBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
69.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
48.8
Missed tackles
1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
58.9
Missed tackles
3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
54.2
Coverage
76.3
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
18.8
Missed tackles
2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08

    Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo

  • Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

  • Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FIU
LIB
vs
Offense
72.7
#92 of 138
QB
75.9
#79 of 138
74.8
#73 of 138
RB
81.0
#31 of 138
71.2
#72 of 138
WR
69.8
#84 of 138
60.0
#120 of 138
TE
69.8
#67 of 138
62.6
#118 of 138
OL
72.2
#32 of 138
Defense
76.1
#45 of 138
DL
70.0
#106 of 138
75.9
#52 of 138
LB
66.2
#130 of 138
72.6
#63 of 138
DB
73.2
#54 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida International
opponent
Liberty
H+14.5
SHSU#125
+32.0H
A+0.1
DEL#119
+16.0A
H+19.0
NMSU#120
+7.2A
A-2.1
KENN#113
+3.4A
H+9.9
MTSU#150
+15.3H
H+9.3
MOST#141
+9.4A