CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GWEB 7.0%93.0% LIB
Projected margin
LIB by 24.8
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
LIB 4 to LIB 44
Win probability
LIB 93.0%
FinalGWEB 23 · LIB 24model had +24.8, off by 23.8

Current team profiles

Gardner-Webb
Liberty

When Gardner-Webb has the ball

Passing

No comparison
GWEB offense
—
LIB defense
#15
EPA comparison
—
-0.04
#15
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
GWEB offense
—
LIB defense
#73
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
GWEB offense
#88
LIB defense
#13
Success rates
42%
#88
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#93
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
0.20
#69
1.34
#115
Explosiveness
—
19%
#24
Havoc

When Liberty has the ball

Passing

No comparison
GWEB defense
—
LIB offense
#47
EPA comparison
—
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
GWEB defense
—
LIB offense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
GWEB defense
#12
LIB offense
#30
Success rates
39%
#12
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#16
0.17
#63
EPA / play
0.21
#64
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
—
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Gardner-Webb
QBCole Pennington
1680 yds · 8 TD · 5 INT
73.575/370
DBHunter West
3 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.1
Coverage
89.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
52.1
Missed tackles
0
90.42/1765
DBSabin McLaughlin
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.5
Coverage
75.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
146.4
Missed tackles
0
78.960/1765
WRKory Jones
33 rec · 539 yds · 2 TD
78.436/1229
DLAJ Mebane
15 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
58.5
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
102
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
73.6161/1549
DBTrenton Bell
20 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.7
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
86.6
Missed tackles
4
73.6208/1765
Liberty
QBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
69.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
48.8
Missed tackles
1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
58.9
Missed tackles
3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
54.2
Coverage
76.3
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
18.8
Missed tackles
2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08

    Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo

  • Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

  • Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GWEB
LIB
vs
Offense
73.5
#56 of 125
QB
75.9
#79 of 138
65.4
#112 of 126
RB
81.0
#31 of 138
70.8
#46 of 126
WR
69.8
#84 of 138
61.2
#82 of 124
TE
69.8
#67 of 138
54.3
#125 of 125
OL
72.2
#32 of 138
Defense
71.2
#53 of 126
DL
70.0
#106 of 138
65.0
#112 of 126
LB
66.2
#130 of 138
77.3
#7 of 126
DB
73.2
#54 of 138
Common opponents