AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 10:00 PM
Away
Gardner-Webb
—
17p
#106Home
Liberty
0-0 · AVR 37.8
37p
GWEB 7%93% LIB
Spread
LIB -20.1
Total
53
Moneyline
GWEB+1233LIB-1233
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Liberty
SIzaiah Guy
76.4134/1427
LBKyle Ferm
60.4278/878
CBJamal Miles
56.7571/1427
QBEthan Vasko
56.088/308
LBDerrell Farrar
54.5396/878
RBKam Davis
53.4192/514

also out — Erwil Anthony Jr. (OL), Aaron Hester (DL)

Projected margin

80% between 3 and 37
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKLIB +20.195% interval: -2.9 to 43.180% interval: 3.3 to 36.8+3+37GWEB wins 8%LIB wins 93%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ LIB 39–18 GWEBLIB 35–42 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesLIB 39–39 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesLIB 42–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesLIB 46–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesLIB 49–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesLIB 53–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLIB 56–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesLIB 60–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesLIB 63–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesLIB 32–39 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesLIB 35–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesLIB 39–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLIB 42–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesLIB 46–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesLIB 49–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesLIB 53–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesLIB 56–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesLIB 60–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesLIB 28–35 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesLIB 32–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesLIB 35–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesLIB 39–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesLIB 42–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesLIB 46–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesLIB 49–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesLIB 53–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesLIB 56–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesLIB 25–32 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesLIB 28–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesLIB 32–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesLIB 35–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesLIB 39–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesLIB 42–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesLIB 46–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesLIB 49–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesLIB 53–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesLIB 21–28 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesLIB 25–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesLIB 28–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesLIB 32–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesLIB 35–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesLIB 39–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesLIB 42–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesLIB 46–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesLIB 49–0 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesLIB 18–25 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesLIB 21–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesLIB 25–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesLIB 28–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesLIB 32–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesLIB 35–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesLIB 39–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesLIB 42–0 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)LIB 14–21 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesLIB 18–18 GWEB neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesLIB 21–14 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesLIB 25–11 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesLIB 28–7 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesLIB 32–4 GWEB neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesLIB 35–0 GWEB neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalGWEB +7LIB +7LIB +21LIB +35LIB +49margin →