Passing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #92
- LIB defense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
-0.04
#15
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BALL 32.6%67.4% LIB
- Projected margin
- LIB by 6.6
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- BALL 12 to LIB 28
- Win probability
- LIB 67.4%
FinalBALL 15 · LIB 51model had +6.6, off by 29.4
Current team profiles
Ball StateLibertyWhen Ball State has the ball
Rushing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #100
- LIB defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #128
- LIB defense
- #13
Success rates
36%
#128
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
1.38
#13
1.34
#115
Explosiveness
18%
#125
19%
#24
Havoc
When Liberty has the ball
Passing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #132
- LIB offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #133
- LIB offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.25
#133
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #114
- LIB offense
- #30
Success rates
45%
#114
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#136
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.44
#135
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
13%
#113
14%
#56
Havoc
Current key players
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
LibertyQBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 69.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.9
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 54.2
- Coverage
- 76.3
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 18.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
- J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08
Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo
- Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
- Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BALLBall State
LIBLiberty
vs
Offense
67.4
#112 of 138
QB
Quarterback
75.9
#79 of 138
80.2
#35 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.0
#31 of 138
64.8
#130 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.8
#84 of 138
58.7
#130 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.8
#67 of 138
66.4
#86 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#32 of 138
Defense
68.0
#121 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.0
#106 of 138
68.5
#116 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.2
#130 of 138
67.8
#118 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.2
#54 of 138