Passing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #98
- LIB defense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
-0.04
#15
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Thu Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SHSU 25.0%75.0% LIB
- Projected margin
- LIB by 10.1
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- SHSU 10 to LIB 31
- Win probability
- LIB 75.0%
FinalSHSU 3 · LIB 35model had +10.1, off by 21.9
Current team profiles
Sam HoustonLibertyWhen Sam Houston has the ball
Rushing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #110
- LIB defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #96
- LIB defense
- #13
Success rates
41%
#96
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
1.28
#41
1.34
#115
Explosiveness
18%
#122
19%
#24
Havoc
When Liberty has the ball
Passing
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #26
- LIB offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #134
- LIB offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.26
#134
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #95
- LIB offense
- #30
Success rates
43%
#95
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.22
#70
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
20%
#18
14%
#56
Havoc
Current key players
Sam HoustonQBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 85.4
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 7.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08
Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.
LibertyQBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 69.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.9
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 54.2
- Coverage
- 76.3
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 18.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
- J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08
Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo
- Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
- Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SHSUSam Houston
LIBLiberty
vs
Offense
90.6
#17 of 138
QB
Quarterback
75.9
#79 of 138
75.4
#71 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.0
#31 of 138
70.0
#80 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.8
#84 of 138
63.3
#102 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.8
#67 of 138
65.6
#90 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#32 of 138
Defense
74.7
#56 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.0
#106 of 138
76.7
#47 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.2
#130 of 138
73.4
#52 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.2
#54 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Sam Houston
opponent
Liberty
Aaway-14.5
FIUFlorida International#99+8.1Hhome
Hhome-5.9
WKUWestern Kentucky#122+11.4Hhome
Aaway-7.9
MOSTMissouri State#141+9.4Aaway
Hhome-2.0
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150+15.3Hhome
Hhome-8.7
KENNKennesaw State#113+3.4Aaway
Hhome-4.8
NMSUNew Mexico State#120+7.2Aaway