CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Fri Oct 2 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIB 52.7%47.3% DEL
Projected margin
LIB by 1.1
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
LIB 21 to DEL 18
Win probability
LIB 52.7%
FinalLIB 30 · DEL 14model had -1.1, off by 14.9

Current team profiles

Liberty
Delaware

When Liberty has the ball

Passing

LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB offense
#47
DEL defense
#89
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB offense
#55
DEL defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB offense
#30
DEL defense
#67
Success rates
48%
#30
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#63
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.28
#97
Explosiveness
14%
#56
18%
#36
Havoc

When Delaware has the ball

Passing

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB defense
#15
DEL offense
#101
EPA comparison
-0.04
#15
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB defense
#73
DEL offense
#110
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB defense
#13
DEL offense
#124
Success rates
34%
#13
38%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
0.00
#123
EPA / play
1.34
#115
1.26
#48
Explosiveness
19%
#24
21%
#136
Havoc

Current key players

Liberty
QBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
69.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
48.8
Missed tackles
1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
58.9
Missed tackles
3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
54.2
Coverage
76.3
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
18.8
Missed tackles
2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08

    Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo

  • Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

  • Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

Delaware
QBNick Minicucci
838 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
66.4200/729
LBJalen Bell
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
76.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.971/1796
WRSean Wilson
21 rec · 304 yds · 3 TD
76.4104/2069
RBKaderris Roberts
86 yds · 1 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.8155/1044
SNoah Jefferson
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
1
73.0277/2969
LBBlake Matthews
29 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
61.8
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
54
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
71.4311/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Nick Minicucci · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Minicucci is hampered by a leg injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against Liberty on Friday, October 2nd.

  • Greg Spiller · RBout · 2026-09-13

    Spiller is managing with an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Brandon Rehmann · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Rehmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

  • Ty Salazer · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Salazer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LIB
DEL
vs
Offense
75.9
#79 of 138
QB
66.4
#115 of 138
81.0
#31 of 138
RB
72.7
#102 of 138
69.8
#84 of 138
WR
72.1
#58 of 138
69.8
#67 of 138
TE
68.8
#72 of 138
72.2
#32 of 138
OL
64.3
#101 of 138
Defense
70.0
#106 of 138
DL
67.8
#125 of 138
66.2
#130 of 138
LB
74.4
#66 of 138
73.2
#54 of 138
DB
69.8
#103 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Liberty
opponent
Delaware
H+15.3
MTSU#150
+1.8A
H+11.4
WKU#122
-2.1A
A+17.0
CCU#127
+8.0H
A+3.4
KENN#113
-4.8A
H+8.1
FIU#99
-0.1H
A+7.2
NMSU#120
-0.9A
A+9.4
MOST#141
+6.6H