Passing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #114
- LIB defense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
-0.04
#15
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WKU 22.8%77.2% LIB
- Projected margin
- LIB by 11.4
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- WKU 7 to LIB 30
- Win probability
- LIB 77.2%
Current team profiles
Western KentuckyLibertyWhen Western Kentucky has the ball
Rushing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #116
- LIB defense
- #73
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #119
- LIB defense
- #13
Success rates
38%
#119
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#113
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
1.26
#54
1.34
#115
Explosiveness
15%
#84
19%
#24
Havoc
When Liberty has the ball
Passing
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #41
- LIB offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #137
- LIB offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.30
#137
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #82
- LIB offense
- #30
Success rates
42%
#82
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#118
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.43
#133
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
14%
#106
14%
#56
Havoc
Current key players
Western KentuckyQBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 119.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
LibertyQBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 69.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.9
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 54.2
- Coverage
- 76.3
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 18.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
- J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08
Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo
- Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
- Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WKUWestern Kentucky
LIBLiberty
vs
Offense
63.6
#123 of 138
QB
Quarterback
75.9
#79 of 138
68.8
#125 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.0
#31 of 138
69.8
#82 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.8
#84 of 138
68.9
#70 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.8
#67 of 138
63.7
#108 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#32 of 138
Defense
69.4
#114 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.0
#106 of 138
70.4
#101 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.2
#130 of 138
69.1
#110 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.2
#54 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Western Kentucky
opponent
Liberty
Aaway-21.0
NMSUNew Mexico State#120+7.2Aaway
Aaway+5.9
SHSUSam Houston#125+32.0Hhome
Aaway+1.2
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150+15.3Hhome
Hhome+2.1
DELDelaware#119+16.0Aaway
Hhome+21.0
MOSTMissouri State#141+9.4Aaway
Hhome-0.1
KENNKennesaw State#113+3.4Aaway