CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIB 58.8%41.2% KENN
Projected margin
LIB by 3.4
Projected total
49
80% outcome range
LIB 22 to KENN 15
Win probability
LIB 58.8%

Current team profiles

Liberty
Kennesaw State

When Liberty has the ball

Passing

LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB offense
#47
KENN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.28
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB offense
#55
KENN defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB offense
#30
KENN defense
#98
Success rates
48%
#30
43%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#63
0.14
#102
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
14%
#56
12%
#125
Havoc

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB defense
#15
KENN offense
#101
EPA comparison
-0.04
#15
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB defense
#73
KENN offense
#51
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
LIB defense
#13
KENN offense
#53
Success rates
34%
#13
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
0.10
#87
EPA / play
1.34
#115
1.10
#126
Explosiveness
19%
#24
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Liberty
QBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
69.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
48.8
Missed tackles
1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
58.9
Missed tackles
3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
54.2
Coverage
76.3
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
18.8
Missed tackles
2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08

    Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo

  • Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

  • Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LIB
KENN
vs
Offense
75.9
#79 of 138
QB
79.1
#60 of 138
81.0
#31 of 138
RB
78.9
#40 of 138
69.8
#84 of 138
WR
72.9
#48 of 138
69.8
#67 of 138
TE
52.4
#136 of 138
72.2
#32 of 138
OL
59.3
#135 of 138
Defense
70.0
#106 of 138
DL
72.2
#82 of 138
66.2
#130 of 138
LB
81.1
#16 of 138
73.2
#54 of 138
DB
69.8
#102 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Liberty
opponent
Kennesaw State
H+32.0
SHSU#125
+8.7A
H+15.3
MTSU#150
+4.0A
H+11.4
WKU#122
+0.1A
A+16.0
DEL#119
+4.8H
H+8.1
FIU#99
+2.1H
A+9.4
MOST#141
+3.4A