Passing
No comparison
- EKU offense
- —
- JXST defense
- #41
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
EKU 7.5%92.5% JXST
- Projected margin
- JXST by 23.0
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- JXST 3 to JXST 44
- Win probability
- JXST 92.5%
FinalEKU 7 · JXST 49model had +23.0, off by 19.0
Current team profiles
Eastern Kentucky
Jacksonville StateWhen Eastern Kentucky has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- EKU offense
- —
- JXST defense
- #91
EPA comparison
—
0.09
#91
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- EKU offense
- #87
- JXST defense
- #87
Success rates
42%
#87
42%
#87
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#111
0.05
#62
EPA / play
0.21
#50
1.09
#19
Explosiveness
—
16%
#77
Havoc
When Jacksonville State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- EKU defense
- —
- JXST offense
- #33
EPA comparison
—
0.36
#33
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- EKU defense
- —
- JXST offense
- #85
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#85
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- EKU defense
- #18
- JXST offense
- #38
Success rates
40%
#18
47%
#38
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#28
0.18
#54
EPA / play
0.19
#30
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
—
14%
#56
Havoc
Current key players
Eastern KentuckyDBMaurice Wells
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.6
- Coverage
- 81.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.028/1765
TEColbey Lamberth
1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 58.7
- Penalties
- 0
81.46/526
RBBrady Hensley
414 yds · 4 TD · 7.4 YPC
73.5106/631
DLJayden Marable
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 99
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.4166/1549
OLAnthony Johns
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 78.9
- Run blocking
- 72.8
- Penalties
- 1
73.164/1368
DBJeffrey Kinley
32 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.1
- Coverage
- 70.2
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 109.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
73.1224/1765
Jacksonville StateQBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.0
- Coverage
- 82.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 43.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 77.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
- Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07
Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
EKUEastern Kentucky
JXSTJacksonville State
vs
Offense
69.9
#73 of 125
QB
Quarterback
68.6
#108 of 138
71.5
#65 of 126
RB
Running backs
73.8
#86 of 138
62.8
#119 of 126
WR
Receivers
78.1
#17 of 138
81.4
#5 of 124
TE
Tight ends
72.3
#50 of 138
63.9
#67 of 125
OL
Offensive line
67.7
#70 of 138
Defense
71.4
#50 of 126
DL
Defensive line
70.9
#95 of 138
68.4
#94 of 126
LB
Linebackers
78.7
#32 of 138
69.1
#91 of 126
DB
Secondary
77.3
#13 of 138